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IPBL International

20.07.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction

20.07.2026 10:00 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Bears - Octopus

International Basketball

Bears

132 : 124

Finished

Octopus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bears - Octopus July 20, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Octopus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.70 / 2 1.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%

1 12.0%

2 88.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.07.2026 10:00 UTC

Match center

Bears - Octopus

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 55.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.613 / LogLoss 0.807

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 52.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.544 / LogLoss 0.737

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.05 Fonbet · line only

1 7.70 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 246.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Over 247.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.05 48.8%
	2.15 46.5%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.75 57.1%
	2.05 48.8%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.77 56.5%
	1.83 54.6%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.75 57.1%
	1.93 51.8%
	1.83 54.6%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.76 56.8%
	1.94 51.6%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 246.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 247.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 248.5	2.03 49.3%
Over 249.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 250.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 251.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 252.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 253.5	2.05 48.8%
Over 254.5	1.77 56.5%
Over 255.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 256.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 257.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 258.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 259.5	1.93 51.8%
Over 260.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 261.5	2.00 50.0%
Over 262.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 263.5	2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	7.70 13.0%
	1.05 95.2%

Match center

Bears

L L W W W

20.07 05:00 UTC IPBL

Bears 126:144 Reyvens

17.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Bears 121:126 Oktopus

17.07 05:00 UTC IPBL

Bears 138:134 Reyvens

15.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Bears 142:120 Oktopus

15.07 07:30 UTC IPBL

Bears 147:124 Piranyas

3 Wins

2 Losses

134.8 Scored

129.6 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Octopus

L L W W L

20.07 08:45 UTC IPBL

Octopus 129:142 Reyvens

20.07 06:15 UTC IPBL

Octopus 114:130 Piranyas

17.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Octopus 126:121 Birz

17.07 08:45 UTC IPBL

Octopus 134:133 Reyvens

17.07 06:15 UTC IPBL

Octopus 122:126 Piranyas

2 Wins

3 Losses

125.0 Scored

130.4 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBears - Octopus

Bears

3 matches total

Octopus

Bears: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Octopus: 3 (100%)

Biggest win Birz 142:120 (15.07 10:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 282 goals (150:132, 13.07 10:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

17.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Birz

121:126

Oktopus

15.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Birz

142:120

Oktopus

13.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Birz

150:132

Oktopus