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IPBL
IPBL International
22.07.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
22.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Bears - Octopus

International Basketball
Bears
Bears
139 : 112
Finished
Octopus
Octopus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bears - Octopus July 22, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bears. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.16 / 2 4.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 79.5%
2 20.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Bears - Octopus

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 60.9% fact: home hit / ROI 16.0% / Brier 0.306 / LogLoss 0.496
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 54.4% fact: home hit / ROI 16.0% / Brier 0.417 / LogLoss 0.610
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 236.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Over 237.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.65 60.6%
2.13 47.0%
1.72 58.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.95 51.3%
1.83 54.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.94 51.6%
2.15 46.5%
1.90 52.6%
2.13 47.0%
1.70 58.8%
2.13 47.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.94 51.6%
1.68 59.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 236.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 237.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 238.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 239.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 240.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 241.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 242.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 243.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 244.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 245.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 246.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 247.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 248.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 249.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 250.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 251.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 252.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 253.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.16 86.2%
4.50 22.2%
Match center
Bears
W W L L W
22.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Bears 133:131 Reyvens
20.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Bears 132:124 Oktopus
20.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Bears 126:144 Reyvens
17.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Bears 121:126 Oktopus
17.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Bears 138:134 Reyvens
3 Wins
2 Losses
130.0 Scored
131.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Octopus
L L L L L
22.07 08:45 UTC IPBL
Octopus 119:130 Reyvens
22.07 06:15 UTC IPBL
Octopus 121:132 Piranyas
20.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Octopus 124:132 Birz
20.07 08:45 UTC IPBL
Octopus 129:142 Reyvens
20.07 06:15 UTC IPBL
Octopus 114:130 Piranyas
0 Wins
5 Losses
121.4 Scored
133.2 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBears - Octopus

Bears
3 matches total
Octopus
Bears: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Octopus: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Birz 142:120 (15.07 10:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 262 goals (142:120, 15.07 10:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

20.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Birz
132:124
Oktopus
17.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Birz
121:126
Oktopus
15.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Birz
142:120
Oktopus