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IPBL
IPBL International
24.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Bears - Octopus

International Basketball
Bears
Bears
128 : 127
Finished
Octopus
Octopus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bears - Octopus July 24, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Octopus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.90 / 2 1.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 48.6%
2 51.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Bears - Octopus

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 248.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 249.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.95 51.3%
2.00 50.0%
1.90 52.6%
2.07 48.3%
1.70 58.8%
1.70 58.8%
1.68 59.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.68 59.5%
1.62 61.7%
1.80 55.6%
1.65 60.6%
1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 248.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 249.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 250.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 251.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 252.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 254.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 255.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 256.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 257.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 258.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 259.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 260.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 261.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 262.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 263.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 264.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 265.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 266.5 1.72 58.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
Match center
Bears
W W W W L
24.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Bears 124:115 Reyvens
22.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Bears 139:112 Oktopus
22.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Bears 133:131 Reyvens
20.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Bears 132:124 Oktopus
20.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Bears 126:144 Reyvens
4 Wins
1 Losses
130.8 Scored
125.2 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Octopus
W L L L L
24.07 08:45 UTC IPBL
Octopus 134:130 Reyvens
24.07 06:15 UTC IPBL
Octopus 116:128 Piranyas
22.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Octopus 112:139 Birz
22.07 08:45 UTC IPBL
Octopus 119:130 Reyvens
22.07 06:15 UTC IPBL
Octopus 121:132 Piranyas
1 Wins
4 Losses
120.4 Scored
131.8 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBears - Octopus

Bears
3 matches total
Octopus
Bears: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Octopus: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Birz 139:112 (22.07 10:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 256 goals (132:124, 20.07 10:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

22.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Birz
139:112
Oktopus
20.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Birz
132:124
Oktopus
17.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Birz
121:126
Oktopus