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IPBL
IPBL International
27.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Bears - Octopus

International Basketball
Bears
Bears
121 : 114
Finished
Octopus
Octopus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bears - Octopus July 27, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bears. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.13 / 2 5.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 81.9%
2 18.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Bears - Octopus

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.10 Fonbet · line only
1 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 228.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only
Over 229.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.75 57.1%
2.15 46.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.94 51.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.62 61.7%
2.10 47.6%
1.94 51.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.65 60.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.93 51.8%
1.83 54.6%
1.75 57.1%
2.07 48.3%
1.95 51.3%
1.68 59.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 228.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 229.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 230.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 231.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 232.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 233.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 234.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 235.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 236.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 237.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 238.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 239.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 240.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 242.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 243.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 244.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 245.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 246.5 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.13 88.5%
5.10 19.6%
Match center
Bears
W W W W W
27.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Bears 140:117 Reyvens
24.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Bears 128:127 Oktopus
24.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Bears 124:115 Reyvens
22.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Bears 139:112 Oktopus
22.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Bears 133:131 Reyvens
5 Wins
0 Losses
132.8 Scored
120.4 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Octopus
L L W L L
27.07 06:15 UTC IPBL
Octopus 128:134 Piranyas
24.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Octopus 127:128 Birz
24.07 08:45 UTC IPBL
Octopus 134:130 Reyvens
24.07 06:15 UTC IPBL
Octopus 116:128 Piranyas
22.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Octopus 112:139 Birz
1 Wins
4 Losses
123.4 Scored
131.8 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBears - Octopus

Bears
3 matches total
Octopus
Bears: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Octopus: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Birz 139:112 (22.07 10:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 256 goals (132:124, 20.07 10:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

24.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Birz
128:127
Oktopus
22.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Birz
139:112
Oktopus
20.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Birz
132:124
Oktopus