FreeMatch preview

Bears — Octopus

Basketball 18.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Favourite Bears best odds 1.15

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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IPBL
IPBL International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
18.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Bears - Octopus

International Basketball
Bears
Bears
134 : 128
Finished
Octopus
Octopus

Bears take on Octopus on August 18, 2026 in the IPBL, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Bears 4-0-1, Octopus 2-0-3. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bears - Octopus August 18, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bears. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.15 / 2 4.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 80.3%
2 19.7%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Market 1 80.3% @ 1.15 / 2 19.7% @ 4.70
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Match center

Bears - Octopus

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.15 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 243.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 244.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
2.03 49.3%
1.87 53.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.95 51.3%
1.75 57.1%
1.60 62.5%
1.93 51.8%
1.83 54.6%
1.95 51.3%
2.00 50.0%
2.03 49.3%
1.83 54.6%
1.65 60.6%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 243.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 244.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 245.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 246.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 247.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 248.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 249.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 250.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 251.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 252.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 253.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 256.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 257.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 258.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 259.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 260.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 263.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 264.5 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.15 87.0%
4.70 21.3%
Match center
Bears
W W W W L
18.08 07:30 UTC IPBL
Bears 145:137 Piranyas
14.08 10:00 UTC IPBL
Bears 140:130 Oktopus
14.08 07:30 UTC IPBL
Bears 153:136 Piranyas
14.08 05:00 UTC IPBL
Bears 144:136 Reyvens
07.08 10:00 UTC IPBL
Bears 123:141 Oktopus
4 Wins
1 Losses
141.0 Scored
136.0 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Octopus
W L L W L
18.08 08:45 UTC IPBL
Octopus 149:138 Reyvens
18.08 06:15 UTC IPBL
Octopus 126:148 Piranyas
14.08 10:00 UTC IPBL
Octopus 130:140 Birz
14.08 08:45 UTC IPBL
Octopus 132:112 Reyvens
14.08 06:15 UTC IPBL
Octopus 114:145 Piranyas
2 Wins
3 Losses
130.2 Scored
136.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Bears - Octopus

Bears
3 matches total
Octopus
Bears: 0 (0%)
Octopus: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Oktopus 123:141 (07.08 10:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 270 points (140:130, 14.08 10:00 UTC) most points in a game

Match history

14.08 10:00 UTC IPBL
Birz
140:130
Oktopus
07.08 10:00 UTC IPBL
Birz
123:141
Oktopus
31.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Birz
133:122
Oktopus

Frequently asked questions

When does Bears vs Octopus start?

August 18, 2026.