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IPBL
IPBL International
14.07.2026 19:10 MSK Match prediction
14.07.2026 19:10 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Chelyabinsk - Khabarovsk

International Basketball
Chelyabinsk
Chelyabinsk
96 : 89
Finished
Khabarovsk
Khabarovsk
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Khabarovsk — 52%

1 · Chelyabinsk48.2%
2 · Khabarovsk51.8%

Model estimate: win Chelyabinsk 48.2%, win Khabarovsk 51.8%. Model favourite — Khabarovsk.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chelyabinsk - Khabarovsk 14 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelyabinsk.

Line favourite Fonbet: Chelyabinsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.20 / 2 4.00
  • Glicko: Chelyabinsk 48.2% / Khabarovsk 51.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 76.9%
2 23.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.57 ↑ 1.87
Победитель П2 2.25 ↓ 1.83

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.07.2026 19:10 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Chelyabinsk - Khabarovsk

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 96:89
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Chelyabinsk 49.5% 48.2%
Khabarovsk 50.5% 51.8% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 48.2% / 51.8% probabilities
Rating 1,229 / 1,328 Chelyabinsk / Khabarovsk
RD 103 / 93 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,023-1,435 / 1,142-1,514 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.00 Fonbet · weak value +107.4% · model 51.8%
1 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 48.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 172.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 173.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 -0.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -1.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 -10.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 -11.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -12.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 -13.5 1.57 63.7%
П2 -14.5 1.43 69.9%
П2 -15.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -16.5 1.52 65.8%
П2 -17.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 -18.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -2.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -3.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -4.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 -5.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 -6.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -7.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 -8.5 2.65 37.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 172.5 1.50 66.7%
ТБ 173.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 174.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 175.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 176.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 177.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 178.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 179.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 180.5 1.48 67.6%
ТБ 181.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 182.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 183.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 184.5 1.38 72.5%
ТБ 185.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 186.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 187.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 188.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 189.5 2.55 39.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.20 83.3%
П2 4.00 25.0%
Match center
Chelyabinsk
W L L L L
13.07 20:10 МСК IPBL
Chelyabinsk 81:76 Ulan-Ude
10.07 20:10 МСК IPBL
Chelyabinsk 94:102 Ulan-Ude
09.07 23:10 МСК IPBL
Chelyabinsk 89:102 Chita
08.07 20:10 МСК IPBL
Chelyabinsk 78:83 Ulan-Ude
08.07 19:10 МСК IPBL
Chelyabinsk 78:89 Khabarovsk
1 Wins
4 Losses
84.0 Scored
90.4 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Khabarovsk
L W L
13.07 21:10 МСК IPBL
Khabarovsk 99:106 Chita
08.07 19:10 МСК IPBL
Khabarovsk 89:78 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
07.07 21:10 МСК IPBL
Khabarovsk 92:100 Chita
1 Wins
2 Losses
93.3 Scored
94.7 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyChelyabinsk - Khabarovsk

Chelyabinsk
1 matches total
Khabarovsk
Chelyabinsk: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Khabarovsk: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Khabarovsk 78:89 (08.07 19:10 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 167 goals (78:89, 08.07 19:10 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

08.07 19:10 МСК IPBL
Chelyabinsk
78:89
Khabarovsk