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IPBL
IPBL International
14.07.2026 16:10 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Chita - Khabarovsk

International Basketball
Chita
Chita
96 : 89
Finished
Khabarovsk
Khabarovsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chita - Khabarovsk July 14, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Chita. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.20 / 2 4.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 76.9%
2 23.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.07.2026 16:10 UTC
Match center

Chita - Khabarovsk

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 172.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 173.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.67 59.9%
2.20 45.5%
1.94 51.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.55 64.5%
1.57 63.7%
1.43 69.9%
1.67 59.9%
1.52 65.8%
2.03 49.3%
1.72 58.1%
2.00 50.0%
1.85 54.1%
2.30 43.5%
2.07 48.3%
1.90 52.6%
1.76 56.8%
2.65 37.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 172.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 173.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 174.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 175.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 176.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 177.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 178.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 179.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 180.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 181.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 182.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 183.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 184.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 185.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 186.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 187.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 188.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 189.5 2.55 39.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.20 83.3%
4.00 25.0%
Match center
Chita
W L L L L
13.07 17:10 UTC IPBL
Chita 81:76 Ulan-Ude
10.07 17:10 UTC IPBL
Chita 94:102 Ulan-Ude
09.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Chita 89:102
08.07 17:10 UTC IPBL
Chita 78:83 Ulan-Ude
08.07 16:10 UTC IPBL
Chita 78:89 Khabarovsk
1 Wins
4 Losses
84.0 Scored
90.4 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Khabarovsk
L W L
13.07 18:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 99:106 Chita
08.07 16:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 89:78 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
07.07 18:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 92:100 Chita
1 Wins
2 Losses
93.3 Scored
94.7 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyChita - Khabarovsk

Chita
1 matches total
Khabarovsk
Chita: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Khabarovsk: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Khabarovsk 78:89 (08.07 16:10 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 167 goals (78:89, 08.07 16:10 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

08.07 16:10 UTC IPBL
Chelyabinsk
78:89
Khabarovsk