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IPBL
IPBL International
16.07.2026 16:10 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Chita - Khabarovsk

International Basketball
Chita
Chita
96 : 104
Finished
Khabarovsk
Khabarovsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chita - Khabarovsk July 16, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Khabarovsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.50 / 2 1.11

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 16.8%
2 83.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.07.2026 16:10 UTC
Match center

Chita - Khabarovsk

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.11 Fonbet · line only
1 5.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 171.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 172.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.70 58.8%
1.63 61.4%
2.20 45.5%
2.52 39.7%
1.67 59.9%
1.80 55.6%
1.95 51.3%
2.15 46.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.93 51.8%
2.10 47.6%
2.10 47.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.87 53.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.63 61.4%
1.80 55.6%
1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 171.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 172.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 173.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 174.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 175.5 1.46 68.5%
Over 176.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 177.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 178.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 179.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 180.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 181.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 182.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 183.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 184.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 185.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 186.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 187.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 188.5 2.23 44.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
5.50 18.2%
1.11 90.1%
Match center
Chita
L L W W L
15.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Chita 93:107
15.07 17:10 UTC IPBL
Chita 88:92 Ulan-Ude
14.07 16:10 UTC IPBL
Chita 96:89 Khabarovsk
13.07 17:10 UTC IPBL
Chita 81:76 Ulan-Ude
10.07 17:10 UTC IPBL
Chita 94:102 Ulan-Ude
2 Wins
3 Losses
90.4 Scored
93.2 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Khabarovsk
L L W L
14.07 16:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 89:96 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
13.07 18:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 99:106 Chita
08.07 16:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 89:78 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
07.07 18:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 92:100 Chita
1 Wins
3 Losses
92.3 Scored
95.0 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyChita - Khabarovsk

Chita
2 matches total
Khabarovsk
Chita: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Khabarovsk: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Khabarovsk 78:89 (08.07 16:10 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 185 goals (96:89, 14.07 16:10 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

14.07 16:10 UTC IPBL
Chelyabinsk
96:89
Khabarovsk
08.07 16:10 UTC IPBL
Chelyabinsk
78:89
Khabarovsk