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IPBL
IPBL International
21.07.2026 05:10 UTC Match prediction
21.07.2026 05:10 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Gloria Balashikha - Naberezhnye Chelny (w)

International Basketball
Gloria Balashikha
Gloria Balashikha
100 : 113
Finished
Naberezhnye Chelny (w)
Naberezhnye Chelny (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gloria Balashikha - Naberezhnye Chelny (w) July 21, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Naberezhnye Chelny (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.50 / 2 1.08

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 14.2%
2 85.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.07.2026 05:10 UTC
Match center

Gloria Balashikha - Naberezhnye Chelny (w)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 50.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.506 / LogLoss 0.699
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line home - 50.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.502 / LogLoss 0.696
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1 6.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 185.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 186.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.65 60.6%
1.72 58.1%
2.03 49.3%
1.67 59.9%
1.58 63.3%
1.70 58.8%
1.85 54.1%
2.03 49.3%
2.23 44.8%
2.00 50.0%
1.45 69.0%
1.60 62.5%
1.83 54.6%
1.75 57.1%
2.03 49.3%
2.35 42.6%
2.40 41.7%
1.95 51.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 185.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 186.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 187.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 188.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 189.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 190.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 191.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 192.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 193.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 194.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 195.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 196.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 197.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 198.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 199.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 200.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 201.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 202.5 1.76 56.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
6.50 15.4%
1.08 92.6%