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IPBL
IPBL International
17.07.2026 19:10 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Grozny (w) - Krasnogorsk (w)

International Basketball
Grozny (w)
Grozny (w)
115 : 118
Finished
Krasnogorsk (w)
Krasnogorsk (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Grozny (w) - Krasnogorsk (w) July 17, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Krasnogorsk (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.20 / 2 1.19

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 22.1%
2 77.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.07.2026 19:10 UTC
Match center

Grozny (w) - Krasnogorsk (w)

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.19 Fonbet · line only
1 4.20 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 200.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 201.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
1.67 59.9%
1.90 52.6%
2.25 44.4%
2.03 49.3%
2.20 45.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.52 65.8%
1.90 52.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.67 59.9%
1.70 58.8%
2.10 47.6%
1.94 51.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.68 59.5%
1.57 63.7%
1.57 63.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 200.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 201.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 202.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 203.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 204.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 205.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 206.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 207.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 208.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 209.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 210.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 211.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 212.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 213.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 214.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 215.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 216.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 218.5 1.58 63.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
4.20 23.8%
1.19 84.0%
Match center
Grozny (w)
L L
16.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Grozny (w) 103:112 Nizhnekamsk (zh)
07.07 19:10 UTC IPBL
Grozny (w) 97:105 Nizhnekamsk (zh)
0 Wins
2 Losses
100.0 Scored
108.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Krasnogorsk (w)
W W
16.07 19:10 UTC IPBL
Krasnogorsk (w) 120:99 Armavir (zh)
07.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Krasnogorsk (w) 126:103 Armavir (zh)
2 Wins
0 Losses
123.0 Scored
101.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage