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IPBL
IPBL International
21.07.2026 20:10 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Grozny (w) - Krasnogorsk (w)

International Basketball
Grozny (w)
Grozny (w)
105 : 101
Finished
Krasnogorsk (w)
Krasnogorsk (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Grozny (w) - Krasnogorsk (w) July 21, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Grozny (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.26 / 2 3.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 73.2%
2 26.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.07.2026 20:10 UTC
Match center

Grozny (w) - Krasnogorsk (w)

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 55.6% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.619 / LogLoss 0.812
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 52.2% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.546 / LogLoss 0.739
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.45 Fonbet · line only
1 1.26 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 197.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 198.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.07 48.3%
2.10 47.6%
1.67 59.9%
2.00 50.0%
2.45 40.8%
2.13 47.0%
2.35 42.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.95 51.3%
1.70 58.8%
1.90 52.6%
2.20 45.5%
2.55 39.2%
1.87 53.5%
2.13 47.0%
1.67 59.9%
1.65 60.6%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 197.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 198.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 199.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 200.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 201.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 202.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 203.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 204.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 205.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 206.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 207.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 208.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 209.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 210.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 211.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 212.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 213.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 214.5 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.26 79.4%
3.45 29.0%
Match center
Grozny (w)
W L L L
20.07 17:10 UTC IPBL
Grozny (w) 107:91 Armavir (zh)
17.07 19:10 UTC IPBL
Grozny (w) 115:118 Krasnogorsk (zh)
16.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Grozny (w) 103:112 Nizhnekamsk (zh)
07.07 19:10 UTC IPBL
Grozny (w) 97:105 Nizhnekamsk (zh)
1 Wins
3 Losses
105.5 Scored
106.5 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Krasnogorsk (w)
W W W
17.07 19:10 UTC IPBL
Krasnogorsk (w) 118:115 Groznyy (zh)
16.07 19:10 UTC IPBL
Krasnogorsk (w) 120:99 Armavir (zh)
07.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Krasnogorsk (w) 126:103 Armavir (zh)
3 Wins
0 Losses
121.3 Scored
105.7 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGrozny (w) - Krasnogorsk (w)

Grozny (w)
1 matches total
Krasnogorsk (w)
Grozny (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Krasnogorsk (w): 1 (100%)
Biggest win Krasnogorsk (zh) 115:118 (17.07 19:10 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 233 goals (115:118, 17.07 19:10 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

17.07 19:10 UTC IPBL
Groznyy (zh)
115:118
Krasnogorsk (zh)