FreeMatch preview

Ivanovo (w) — Penza (w)

Basketball 22.07.2026 17:05 UTC
Favourite Penza (w) best odds 1.07

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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IPBL
IPBL International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
22.07.2026 17:05 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Ivanovo (w) - Penza (w)

International Basketball
Ivanovo (w)
Ivanovo (w)
87 : 90
Finished
Penza (w)
Penza (w)

Ivanovo (w) take on Penza (w) on July 22, 2026 in the IPBL, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Ivanovo (w) 5-0-0, Penza (w) 3-0-2. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ivanovo (w) - Penza (w) July 22, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Penza (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.80 / 2 1.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 13.6%
2 86.4%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.07.2026 17:05 UTC
Market 1 13.6% @ 6.80 / 2 86.4% @ 1.07
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Ivanovo (w) - Penza (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 66.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.889 / LogLoss 1.099
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 56.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.642 / LogLoss 0.836
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1 6.80 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 164.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Over 165.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.07 48.3%
2.45 40.8%
2.05 48.8%
1.67 59.9%
1.83 54.6%
2.30 43.5%
1.67 59.9%
1.48 67.6%
1.68 59.5%
1.57 63.7%
1.75 57.1%
1.57 63.7%
1.70 58.8%
1.55 64.5%
2.03 49.3%
1.87 53.5%
1.72 58.1%
1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 164.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 165.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 166.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 167.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 168.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 169.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 170.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 171.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 172.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 173.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 174.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 175.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 176.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 177.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 178.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 179.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 180.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 181.5 2.20 45.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
6.80 14.7%
1.07 93.5%
Match center
Ivanovo (w)
W W W W W
22.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Ivanovo (w) 89:82 Kostroma (zh)
18.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Ivanovo (w) 88:71 Penza (zh)
18.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Ivanovo (w) 112:100 Kostroma (zh)
15.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Ivanovo (w) 91:85 Penza (zh)
15.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Ivanovo (w) 87:78 Kostroma (zh)
5 Wins
0 Losses
93.4 Scored
83.2 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Penza (w)
W L W L W
22.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 85:74 Staryy Oskol (zh)
18.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 71:88 Ivanovo (zh)
18.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 85:73 Staryy Oskol (zh)
15.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 85:91 Ivanovo (zh)
15.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 91:79 Staryy Oskol (zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
83.4 Scored
81.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Ivanovo (w) - Penza (w)

Ivanovo (w)
3 matches total
Penza (w)
Ivanovo (w): 0 (0%)
Penza (w): 3 (100%)
Biggest win Ivanovo (zh) 88:71 (18.07 17:05 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 183 points (98:85, 11.07 17:05 UTC) most points in a game

Match history

18.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Ivanovo (zh)
88:71
Penza (zh)
15.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Ivanovo (zh)
91:85
Penza (zh)
11.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Ivanovo (zh)
98:85
Penza (zh)

Frequently asked questions

When does Ivanovo (w) vs Penza (w) start?

July 22, 2026.