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IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 21:00 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 21:00 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Kaliningrad - Voronezh

International Basketball
Kaliningrad
Kaliningrad
107 : 98
Finished
Voronezh
Voronezh
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Kaliningrad — 56%

1 · Kaliningrad ✓ Прогноз56.1%
2 · Voronezh43.9%

Model estimate: win Kaliningrad 56.1%, win Voronezh 43.9%. Model favourite — Kaliningrad.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kaliningrad - Voronezh 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kaliningrad.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kaliningrad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 7.70
  • Glicko: Kaliningrad 56.1% / Voronezh 43.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Прогноз 88.0%
2 12.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.57 ↓ 1.05
Победитель П2 2.25 ↑ 7.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 21:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Kaliningrad - Voronezh

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 107:98
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kaliningrad 88.0% 56.1% market and model agree
Voronezh 12.0% 43.9%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 56.1% / 43.9% probabilities
Rating 1,503 / 1,455 Kaliningrad / Voronezh
RD 75 / 75 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,353-1,654 / 1,305-1,604 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.70 Fonbet · no value · model 43.9%
1 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 56.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 180.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 181.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 -0.5 1.70 58.8%
П1 -1.5 1.50 66.7%
П1 -10.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +0.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 +1.5 2.07 48.3%
П2 -0.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 -1.5 2.40 41.7%
П2 -10.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -11.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -12.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -2.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -3.5 2.35 42.6%
П2 -4.5 2.03 49.3%
П2 -5.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 -6.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 -7.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -8.5 1.62 61.7%
П2 -9.5 2.07 48.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 180.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 181.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 182.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 183.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 184.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 185.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 186.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 187.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 188.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 189.5 1.62 61.7%
ТБ 190.5 1.68 59.5%
ТБ 191.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 192.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 193.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 194.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 195.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 196.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 197.5 1.62 61.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.05 95.2%
П2 7.70 13.0%
Match center
Kaliningrad
W L W L L
15.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad 102:90 Moskva
12.07 23:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad 82:102 Plavsk
12.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad 94:91 Voronezh
12.07 19:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad 81:100 Moskva
10.07 23:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad 75:89 Plavsk
2 Wins
3 Losses
86.8 Scored
94.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Voronezh
L L L W W
15.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh 97:101 Plavsk
12.07 22:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh 87:92 Moskva
12.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh 91:94 Kaliningrad
12.07 18:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh 93:88 Plavsk
10.07 22:00 МСК IPBL
Voronezh 89:83 Moskva
2 Wins
3 Losses
91.4 Scored
91.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKaliningrad - Voronezh

Kaliningrad
3 matches total
Voronezh
Kaliningrad: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Voronezh: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Kaliningrad 117:100 (08.07 21:00 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 217 goals (117:100, 08.07 21:00 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

12.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad
94:91
Voronezh
10.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad
92:106
Voronezh
08.07 21:00 МСК IPBL
Kaliningrad
117:100
Voronezh