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IPBL International

28.07.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction

28.07.2026 18:00 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Kaluga (w) - Norilsk (w)

International Basketball

Kaluga (w)

81 : 85

Finished

Norilsk (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kaluga (w) - Norilsk (w) July 28, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Norilsk (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.80 / 2 1.38

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%

1 33.0%

2 67.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 28.07.2026 18:00 UTC

Match center

Kaluga (w) - Norilsk (w)

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.38 Fonbet · line only

1 2.80 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 2.80 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 157.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Over 158.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.38 72.5%
	1.55 64.5%
	2.15 46.5%
	2.40 41.7%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.63 61.4%
	1.83 54.6%
	1.75 57.1%
	1.65 60.6%
	1.65 60.6%
	2.00 50.0%
	1.83 54.6%
	1.68 59.5%
	1.57 63.7%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.63 61.4%
	1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 157.5	1.43 69.9%
Over 158.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 159.5	1.76 56.8%
Over 160.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 161.5	2.30 43.5%
Over 162.5	2.65 37.7%
Over 163.5	2.65 37.7%
Over 164.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 165.5	2.05 48.8%
Over 166.5	2.30 43.5%
Over 167.5	2.45 40.8%
Over 168.5	2.05 48.8%
Over 169.5	2.25 44.4%
Over 170.5	2.23 44.8%
Over 171.5	2.20 45.5%
Over 172.5	2.03 49.3%
Over 173.5	2.15 46.5%
Over 174.5	2.20 45.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.80 35.7%
	1.38 72.5%

Match center

Kaluga (w)

L W L W W

26.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 84:85 Murino (zh)

26.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 96:69 Vladivostok (zh)

23.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 82:90 Murino (zh)

23.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 105:98 Vladivostok (zh)

21.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 88:62 Vladivostok (zh)

3 Wins

2 Losses

91.0 Scored

80.8 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Norilsk (w)

L W L L L

26.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Norilsk (w) 83:99 Murino (zh)

23.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Norilsk (w) 77:72 Vladivostok (zh)

23.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Norilsk (w) 77:86 Murino (zh)

21.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Norilsk (w) 65:88 Murino (zh)

20.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Norilsk (w) 59:86 Vladivostok (zh)

1 Wins

4 Losses

72.2 Scored

86.2 Conceded

20% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyKaluga (w) - Norilsk (w)

Kaluga (w)

1 matches total

Norilsk (w)

Kaluga (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Norilsk (w): 1 (100%)

Biggest win Kaluga (zh) 105:98 (13.07 17:05 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 203 goals (105:98, 13.07 17:05 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (zh)

105:98

Norilsk (zh)