Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

IPBL International

30.07.2026 17:05 UTC Match prediction

30.07.2026 17:05 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Kaluga (w) - Norilsk (w)

International Basketball

Kaluga (w)

100 : 95

Finished

Norilsk (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kaluga (w) - Norilsk (w) July 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kaluga (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.60 / 2 2.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%

1 57.9%

2 42.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 30.07.2026 17:05 UTC

Match center

Kaluga (w) - Norilsk (w)

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.20 Fonbet · line only

1 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 2.65 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 158.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Over 159.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.43 69.9%
	1.43 69.9%
	1.75 57.1%
	2.07 48.3%
	2.05 48.8%
	2.40 41.7%
	2.07 48.3%
	1.63 61.4%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.63 61.4%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.58 63.3%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.60 62.5%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.70 58.8%
	1.60 62.5%
	1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 158.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 159.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 160.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 161.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 162.5	2.00 50.0%
Over 163.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 164.5	1.68 59.5%
Over 165.5	1.77 56.5%
Over 166.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 167.5	1.62 61.7%
Over 168.5	1.60 62.5%
Over 169.5	1.62 61.7%
Over 170.5	1.58 63.3%
Over 171.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 172.5	1.76 56.8%
Over 173.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 174.5	1.60 62.5%
Over 175.5	1.52 65.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.60 62.5%
	2.20 45.5%

Match center

Kaluga (w)

W L L W L

30.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 94:72 Vladivostok (zh)

28.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 81:85 Norilsk (zh)

26.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 84:85 Murino (zh)

26.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 96:69 Vladivostok (zh)

23.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (w) 82:90 Murino (zh)

2 Wins

3 Losses

87.4 Scored

80.2 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Norilsk (w)

W W L W L

30.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Norilsk (w) 84:79 Murino (zh)

28.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Norilsk (w) 85:81 Kaluga (zh)

26.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Norilsk (w) 83:99 Murino (zh)

23.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Norilsk (w) 77:72 Vladivostok (zh)

23.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Norilsk (w) 77:86 Murino (zh)

3 Wins

2 Losses

81.2 Scored

83.4 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyKaluga (w) - Norilsk (w)

Kaluga (w)

2 matches total

Norilsk (w)

Kaluga (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Norilsk (w): 2 (100%)

Biggest win Kaluga (zh) 105:98 (13.07 17:05 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 203 goals (105:98, 13.07 17:05 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

28.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (zh)

81:85

Norilsk (zh)

13.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Kaluga (zh)

105:98

Norilsk (zh)