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IPBL
IPBL International
20.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Kazan - Krasnodar

International Basketball
Kazan
Kazan
95 : 115
Finished
Krasnodar
Krasnodar

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kazan - Krasnodar July 20, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kazan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / 2 6.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 85.8%
2 14.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 85.8% @ 1.08 / 2 14.2% @ 6.50
Match center

Kazan - Krasnodar

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 56.9% fact: away hit / ROI 8.0% / Brier 0.371 / LogLoss 0.563
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 52.8% fact: away hit / ROI 8.0% / Brier 0.446 / LogLoss 0.639
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 171.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 172.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.75 57.1%
2.10 47.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.72 58.1%
2.65 37.7%
2.40 41.7%
2.20 45.5%
1.83 54.6%
1.60 62.5%
1.43 69.9%
2.10 47.6%
1.90 52.6%
2.00 50.0%
1.75 57.1%
1.62 61.7%
2.00 50.0%
2.07 48.3%
1.93 51.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 171.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 172.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 173.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 174.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 175.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 176.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 177.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 178.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 179.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 180.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 181.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 182.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 183.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 184.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 185.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 186.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 187.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 188.5 2.35 42.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.08 92.6%
6.50 15.4%
Match center
Kazan
L W L L L
20.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 76:107 SamaraSamara
20.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 109:94 Tyumen
17.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 80:87 Krasnodar
17.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 75:99 SamaraSamara
17.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 84:91 Tyumen
1 Wins
4 Losses
84.8 Scored
95.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Krasnodar
W W L L W
20.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnodar 96:87 SamaraSamara
17.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnodar 87:80 Kazan
17.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnodar 81:86 SamaraSamara
15.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnodar 92:105 Kazan
15.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnodar 105:85 Tyumen
3 Wins
2 Losses
92.2 Scored
88.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKazan - Krasnodar

Kazan
3 matches total
Krasnodar
Kazan: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Krasnodar: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Kazan 107:88 (13.07 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 197 goals (105:92, 15.07 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

17.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan
80:87
Krasnodar
15.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan
105:92
Krasnodar
13.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan
107:88
Krasnodar