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IPBL
IPBL International
22.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Kazan - Krasnodar

International Basketball
Kazan
Kazan
64 : 58
Finished
Krasnodar
Krasnodar

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kazan - Krasnodar July 22, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Krasnodar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.80 / 2 1.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 13.6%
2 86.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Market 1 13.6% @ 6.80 / 2 86.4% @ 1.07
Match center

Kazan - Krasnodar

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 57.4% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.659 / LogLoss 0.854
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 53.0% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.561 / LogLoss 0.754
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1 6.80 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 175.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 176.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
1.75 57.1%
2.13 47.0%
2.00 50.0%
2.10 47.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.94 51.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.52 65.8%
1.60 62.5%
2.00 50.0%
1.83 54.6%
2.30 43.5%
2.05 48.8%
1.87 53.5%
1.70 58.8%
1.57 63.7%
1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 175.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 176.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 177.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 178.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 179.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 180.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 181.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 182.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 183.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 184.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 185.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 186.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 187.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 188.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 189.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 190.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 191.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 192.5 2.03 49.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
6.80 14.7%
1.07 93.5%
Match center
Kazan
L W L L W
22.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 72:79 SamaraSamara
22.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 101:81 Tyumen
20.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 95:115 Krasnodar
20.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 76:107 SamaraSamara
20.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 109:94 Tyumen
2 Wins
3 Losses
90.6 Scored
95.2 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Krasnodar
L W W W L
22.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnodar 84:97 SamaraSamara
20.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnodar 115:95 Kazan
20.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnodar 96:87 SamaraSamara
17.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnodar 87:80 Kazan
17.07 09:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnodar 81:86 SamaraSamara
3 Wins
2 Losses
92.6 Scored
89.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKazan - Krasnodar

Kazan
3 matches total
Krasnodar
Kazan: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Krasnodar: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Krasnodar 95:115 (20.07 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 210 goals (95:115, 20.07 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

20.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan
95:115
Krasnodar
17.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan
80:87
Krasnodar
15.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan
105:92
Krasnodar