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IPBL
IPBL International
10.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Kazan - Tyumen

International Basketball
Kazan
Kazan
73 : 79
Finished
Tyumen
Tyumen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kazan - Tyumen July 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tyumen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.55 / 2 1.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 36.3%
2 63.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Kazan - Tyumen

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.45 Fonbet · line only
1 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 153.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 154.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.05 48.8%
1.95 51.3%
2.00 50.0%
2.20 45.5%
2.20 45.5%
2.35 42.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.83 54.6%
1.95 51.3%
2.10 47.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.87 53.5%
2.05 48.8%
1.77 56.5%
1.55 64.5%
1.63 61.4%
1.77 56.5%
1.68 59.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 153.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 154.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 155.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 156.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 157.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 158.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 159.5 2.52 39.7%
Over 160.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 161.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 162.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 163.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 164.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 165.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 166.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 167.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 168.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 169.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 170.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.55 39.2%
1.45 69.0%
Match center
Kazan
L L L W L
09.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 88:95 Krasnodar
09.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 77:90 SamaraSamara
08.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 85:96 Tyumen
07.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 112:93 Krasnodar
07.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 95:102 SamaraSamara
1 Wins
4 Losses
91.4 Scored
95.2 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Tyumen
W L W W W
09.07 13:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 91:83 SamaraSamara
09.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 76:94 Krasnodar
08.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 96:85 Kazan
07.07 13:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 104:97 SamaraSamara
07.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 116:114 Krasnodar
4 Wins
1 Losses
96.6 Scored
94.6 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKazan - Tyumen

Kazan
1 matches total
Tyumen
Kazan: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Tyumen: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Tyumen 85:96 (08.07 10:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 181 goals (85:96, 08.07 10:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

08.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan
85:96
Tyumen