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IPBL
IPBL International
20.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Kazan - Tyumen

International Basketball
Kazan
Kazan
109 : 94
Finished
Tyumen
Tyumen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kazan - Tyumen July 20, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tyumen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.00 / 2 1.33

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 30.7%
2 69.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Kazan - Tyumen

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 55.0% fact: home hit / ROI 43.0% / Brier 0.405 / LogLoss 0.598
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 52.0% fact: home hit / ROI 43.0% / Brier 0.461 / LogLoss 0.654
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.33 Fonbet · line only
1 3.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 170.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 171.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
1.67 59.9%
1.68 59.5%
1.63 61.4%
2.35 42.6%
1.95 51.3%
1.67 59.9%
2.15 46.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.67 59.9%
1.50 66.7%
1.68 59.5%
2.10 47.6%
1.55 64.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.93 51.8%
1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 170.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 171.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 172.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 173.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 174.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 175.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 176.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 177.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 178.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 179.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 180.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 181.5 1.46 68.5%
Over 182.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 183.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 184.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 185.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 186.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 187.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
3.00 33.3%
1.33 75.2%
Match center
Kazan
L L L W W
17.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 80:87 Krasnodar
17.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 75:99 SamaraSamara
17.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 84:91 Tyumen
15.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 105:92 Krasnodar
15.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 76:69 SamaraSamara
2 Wins
3 Losses
84.0 Scored
87.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Tyumen
L W L L L
17.07 13:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 98:105 SamaraSamara
17.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 91:84 Kazan
15.07 13:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 91:107 SamaraSamara
15.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 85:105 Krasnodar
15.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 79:93 Kazan
1 Wins
4 Losses
88.8 Scored
98.8 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKazan - Tyumen

Kazan
3 matches total
Tyumen
Kazan: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Tyumen: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Kazan 93:79 (15.07 10:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 189 goals (100:89, 13.07 10:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

17.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan
84:91
Tyumen
15.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan
93:79
Tyumen
13.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan
100:89
Tyumen