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IPBL
IPBL International
22.07.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
22.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Kazan - Tyumen

International Basketball
Kazan
Kazan
101 : 81
Finished
Tyumen
Tyumen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kazan - Tyumen July 22, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tyumen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.10 / 2 1.65

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 44.0%
2 56.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Kazan - Tyumen

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 58.0% fact: home hit / ROI 75.0% / Brier 0.353 / LogLoss 0.545
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 53.2% fact: home hit / ROI 75.0% / Brier 0.438 / LogLoss 0.631
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 151.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 152.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.72 58.1%
1.52 65.8%
1.57 63.7%
2.55 39.2%
2.13 47.0%
1.80 55.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.62 61.7%
1.76 56.8%
1.95 51.3%
1.55 64.5%
1.70 58.8%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.62 61.7%
1.63 61.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 151.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 152.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 153.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 154.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 155.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 156.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 157.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 158.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 159.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 160.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 161.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 162.5 1.46 68.5%
Over 163.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 164.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 165.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 166.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 167.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 168.5 2.23 44.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.10 47.6%
1.65 60.6%
Match center
Kazan
L L W L L
20.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 95:115 Krasnodar
20.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 76:107 SamaraSamara
20.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 109:94 Tyumen
17.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 80:87 Krasnodar
17.07 11:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan 75:99 SamaraSamara
1 Wins
4 Losses
87.0 Scored
100.4 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Tyumen
L L L W L
20.07 13:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 88:105 SamaraSamara
20.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 94:109 Kazan
17.07 13:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 98:105 SamaraSamara
17.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 91:84 Kazan
15.07 13:00 UTC IPBL
Tyumen 91:107 SamaraSamara
1 Wins
4 Losses
92.4 Scored
102.0 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKazan - Tyumen

Kazan
3 matches total
Tyumen
Kazan: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Tyumen: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Kazan 109:94 (20.07 10:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 203 goals (109:94, 20.07 10:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

20.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan
109:94
Tyumen
17.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan
84:91
Tyumen
15.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Kazan
93:79
Tyumen