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IPBL
IPBL International
20.07.2026 20:10 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Khabarovsk - Chelyabinsk

International Basketball
Khabarovsk
Khabarovsk
111 : 121
Finished
Chelyabinsk
Chelyabinsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Khabarovsk - Chelyabinsk July 20, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Chelyabinsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.30 / 2 1.12

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 17.4%
2 82.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.07.2026 20:10 UTC
Market 1 17.4% @ 5.30 / 2 82.6% @ 1.12
Match center

Khabarovsk - Chelyabinsk

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 69.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.954 / LogLoss 1.173
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 57.6% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.664 / LogLoss 0.859
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1 5.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 152.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 153.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.48 67.6%
1.57 63.7%
1.70 58.8%
1.58 63.3%
2.20 45.5%
2.25 44.4%
2.03 49.3%
1.83 54.6%
1.65 60.6%
1.52 65.8%
1.72 58.1%
1.58 63.3%
1.63 61.4%
2.15 46.5%
2.30 43.5%
2.07 48.3%
1.87 53.5%
1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 152.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 153.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 154.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 155.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 156.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 157.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 158.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 159.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 160.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 161.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 162.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 163.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 164.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 165.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 166.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 167.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 168.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 169.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
5.30 18.9%
1.12 89.3%
Match center
Khabarovsk
W W L W W
20.07 15:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 108:105 Ulan-Ude
17.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 106:83 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
17.07 15:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 93:102 Ulan-Ude
15.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 107:93 ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
15.07 15:10 UTC IPBL
Khabarovsk 112:101 Ulan-Ude
4 Wins
1 Losses
105.2 Scored
96.8 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Chelyabinsk
L L L L L
17.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Chelyabinsk 83:106 Chita
17.07 17:10 UTC IPBL
Chelyabinsk 76:92 Ulan-Ude
16.07 16:10 UTC IPBL
Chelyabinsk 96:104 Khabarovsk
15.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Chelyabinsk 93:107 Chita
15.07 17:10 UTC IPBL
Chelyabinsk 88:92 Ulan-Ude
0 Wins
5 Losses
87.2 Scored
100.2 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKhabarovsk - Chelyabinsk

Khabarovsk
3 matches total
Chelyabinsk
Khabarovsk: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Chelyabinsk: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Chita 106:83 (17.07 20:10 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 200 goals (107:93, 15.07 20:10 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

17.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Chita
106:83
Chelyabinsk
15.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Chita
107:93
Chelyabinsk
09.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Chita
102:89
Chelyabinsk