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IPBL International

22.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

22.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Kostroma (w) - Stary Oskol (w)

International Basketball

Kostroma (w)

82 : 89

Finished

Stary Oskol (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kostroma (w) - Stary Oskol (w) July 22, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kostroma (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%

1 89.1%

2 10.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 22.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Match center

Kostroma (w) - Stary Oskol (w)

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 69.3% fact: away hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.189 / LogLoss 0.367

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 57.7% fact: away hit / ROI 40.0% / Brier 0.358 / LogLoss 0.550

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.50 Fonbet · line only

1 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 158.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Over 159.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.95 51.3%
	2.30 43.5%
	1.65 60.6%
	1.94 51.6%
	1.67 59.9%
	1.87 53.5%
	2.15 46.5%
	2.52 39.7%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.95 51.3%
	1.70 58.8%
	1.83 54.6%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.60 62.5%
	1.58 63.3%
	1.63 61.4%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 158.5	1.58 63.3%
Over 159.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 160.5	1.43 69.9%
Over 161.5	1.57 63.7%
Over 162.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 163.5	1.93 51.8%
Over 164.5	2.20 45.5%
Over 165.5	1.62 61.7%
Over 166.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 167.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 168.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 169.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 170.5	1.60 62.5%
Over 171.5	1.58 63.3%
Over 172.5	1.48 67.6%
Over 173.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 174.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 175.5	1.95 51.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.04 96.2%
	8.50 11.8%

Match center

Kostroma (w)

W L L L W

18.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Kostroma (w) 100:79 Staryy Oskol (zh)

18.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Kostroma (w) 100:112 Ivanovo (zh)

15.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Kostroma (w) 72:83 Staryy Oskol (zh)

15.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Kostroma (w) 78:87 Ivanovo (zh)

11.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Kostroma (w) 92:90 Staryy Oskol (zh)

2 Wins

3 Losses

88.4 Scored

90.2 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Stary Oskol (w)

W W W W W

18.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Stary Oskol (w) 88:71 Penza (zh)

18.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Stary Oskol (w) 112:100 Kostroma (zh)

15.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Stary Oskol (w) 91:85 Penza (zh)

15.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Stary Oskol (w) 87:78 Kostroma (zh)

11.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Stary Oskol (w) 98:85 Penza (zh)

5 Wins

0 Losses

95.2 Scored

83.8 Conceded

100% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyKostroma (w) - Stary Oskol (w)

Kostroma (w)

3 matches total

Stary Oskol (w)

Kostroma (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Stary Oskol (w): 3 (100%)

Biggest win Ivanovo (zh) 78:91 (11.07 15:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 212 goals (100:112, 18.07 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

18.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Kostroma (zh)

100:112

Ivanovo (zh)

15.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Kostroma (zh)

78:87

Ivanovo (zh)

11.07 15:00 UTC IPBL

Kostroma (zh)

78:91

Ivanovo (zh)