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IPBL
IPBL International
20.07.2026 17:10 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Krasnogorsk (w) - Grozny (w)

International Basketball
Krasnogorsk (w)
Krasnogorsk (w)
91 : 107
Finished
Grozny (w)
Grozny (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Krasnogorsk (w) - Grozny (w) July 20, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Grozny (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.10 / 2 1.09

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 15.2%
2 84.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.07.2026 17:10 UTC
Match center

Krasnogorsk (w) - Grozny (w)

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.5% fact: away hit / ROI 93.0% / Brier 0.489 / LogLoss 0.682
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 50.2% fact: away hit / ROI 93.0% / Brier 0.496 / LogLoss 0.689
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.09 Fonbet · line only
1 6.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.13 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 196.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 197.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.93 51.8%
2.05 48.8%
1.72 58.1%
2.00 50.0%
1.65 60.6%
1.83 54.6%
2.07 48.3%
2.13 47.0%
2.00 50.0%
1.68 59.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.65 60.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.63 61.4%
1.85 54.1%
1.76 56.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 196.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 197.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 198.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 199.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 200.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 201.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 202.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 203.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 204.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 205.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 206.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 207.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 208.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 209.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 210.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 211.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 212.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 213.5 1.95 51.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
6.10 16.4%
1.09 91.7%
Match center
Krasnogorsk (w)
L L L L
17.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Krasnogorsk (w) 96:110 Nizhnekamsk (zh)
16.07 19:10 UTC IPBL
Krasnogorsk (w) 99:120 Krasnogorsk (zh)
09.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Krasnogorsk (w) 89:108 Nizhnekamsk (zh)
07.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Krasnogorsk (w) 103:126 Krasnogorsk (zh)
0 Wins
4 Losses
96.8 Scored
116.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Grozny (w)
L L L
17.07 19:10 UTC IPBL
Grozny (w) 115:118 Krasnogorsk (zh)
16.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Grozny (w) 103:112 Nizhnekamsk (zh)
07.07 19:10 UTC IPBL
Grozny (w) 97:105 Nizhnekamsk (zh)
0 Wins
3 Losses
105.0 Scored
111.7 Conceded
0% Win percentage