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IPBL
IPBL International
22.07.2026 20:10 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Krasnogorsk (w) - Grozny (w)

International Basketball
Krasnogorsk (w)
Krasnogorsk (w)
88 : 119
Finished
Grozny (w)
Grozny (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Krasnogorsk (w) - Grozny (w) July 22, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Grozny (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.80 / 2 1.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 13.6%
2 86.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.07.2026 20:10 UTC
Match center

Krasnogorsk (w) - Grozny (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 61.9% fact: away hit / ROI 7.0% / Brier 0.291 / LogLoss 0.480
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 54.8% fact: away hit / ROI 7.0% / Brier 0.409 / LogLoss 0.602
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1 6.80 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 184.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only
Over 185.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.65 60.6%
1.75 57.1%
2.07 48.3%
1.68 59.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.70 58.8%
1.68 59.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.67 59.9%
1.77 56.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1%
2.00 50.0%
1.60 62.5%
1.70 58.8%
1.65 60.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.43 69.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 184.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 185.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 186.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 187.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 188.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 189.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 190.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 191.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 192.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 193.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 194.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 195.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 196.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 197.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 198.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 199.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 200.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 201.5 1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
6.80 14.7%
1.07 93.5%
Match center
Krasnogorsk (w)
L L L L L
20.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Krasnogorsk (w) 85:105 Nizhnekamsk (zh)
20.07 17:10 UTC IPBL
Krasnogorsk (w) 91:107 Groznyy (zh)
17.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Krasnogorsk (w) 96:110 Nizhnekamsk (zh)
16.07 19:10 UTC IPBL
Krasnogorsk (w) 99:120 Krasnogorsk (zh)
09.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Krasnogorsk (w) 89:108 Nizhnekamsk (zh)
0 Wins
5 Losses
92.0 Scored
110.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Grozny (w)
W W L L L
21.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Grozny (w) 105:101 Krasnogorsk (zh)
20.07 17:10 UTC IPBL
Grozny (w) 107:91 Armavir (zh)
17.07 19:10 UTC IPBL
Grozny (w) 115:118 Krasnogorsk (zh)
16.07 20:10 UTC IPBL
Grozny (w) 103:112 Nizhnekamsk (zh)
07.07 19:10 UTC IPBL
Grozny (w) 97:105 Nizhnekamsk (zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
105.4 Scored
105.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKrasnogorsk (w) - Grozny (w)

Krasnogorsk (w)
1 matches total
Grozny (w)
Krasnogorsk (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Grozny (w): 1 (100%)
Biggest win Groznyy (zh) 91:107 (20.07 17:10 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 198 goals (91:107, 20.07 17:10 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

20.07 17:10 UTC IPBL
Armavir (zh)
91:107
Groznyy (zh)