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IPBL
IPBL International
22.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Magnitogorsk (w) - Izhevsk (w)

International Basketball
Magnitogorsk (w)
Magnitogorsk (w)
108 : 90
Finished
Izhevsk (w)
Izhevsk (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Magnitogorsk (w) - Izhevsk (w) July 22, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Izhevsk (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.50 / 2 1.08

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 14.2%
2 85.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Magnitogorsk (w) - Izhevsk (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 58.0% fact: home hit / ROI 22.0% / Brier 0.353 / LogLoss 0.545
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 53.2% fact: home hit / ROI 22.0% / Brier 0.438 / LogLoss 0.631
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1 6.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.13 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 172.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Over 173.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.77 56.5%
1.68 59.5%
2.03 49.3%
1.77 56.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.58 63.3%
1.87 53.5%
1.62 61.7%
1.65 60.6%
1.55 64.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.65 60.6%
2.13 47.0%
2.30 43.5%
2.03 49.3%
1.83 54.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 172.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 173.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 174.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 175.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 176.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 177.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 178.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 179.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 180.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 181.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 182.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 183.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 184.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 185.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 186.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 187.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 188.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 189.5 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
6.50 15.4%
1.08 92.6%
Match center
Magnitogorsk (w)
L L W W W
20.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Magnitogorsk (w) 77:100 Bryansk (zh)
20.07 11:05 UTC IPBL
Magnitogorsk (w) 86:103 Novokuznetsk (zh)
20.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Magnitogorsk (w) 97:94 Izhevsk (zh)
18.07 14:00 UTC IPBL
Magnitogorsk (w) 106:105 Bryansk (zh)
17.07 11:05 UTC IPBL
Magnitogorsk (w) 111:100 Novokuznetsk (zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
95.4 Scored
100.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Izhevsk (w)
L L L L L
20.07 13:05 UTC IPBL
Izhevsk (w) 107:111 Novokuznetsk (zh)
20.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Izhevsk (w) 94:97 Magnitogorsk (zh)
17.07 13:05 UTC IPBL
Izhevsk (w) 81:108 Novokuznetsk (zh)
17.07 12:00 UTC IPBL
Izhevsk (w) 103:111 Bryansk (zh)
17.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Izhevsk (w) 74:93 Magnitogorsk (zh)
0 Wins
5 Losses
91.8 Scored
104.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMagnitogorsk (w) - Izhevsk (w)

Magnitogorsk (w)
3 matches total
Izhevsk (w)
Magnitogorsk (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Izhevsk (w): 3 (100%)
Biggest win Izhevsk (zh) 68:89 (15.07 10:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 191 goals (97:94, 20.07 10:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

20.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Magnitogorsk (zh)
97:94
Izhevsk (zh)
17.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Magnitogorsk (zh)
93:74
Izhevsk (zh)
15.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Magnitogorsk (zh)
68:89
Izhevsk (zh)