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IPBL
IPBL International
29.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Moscow - Plavsk

International Basketball
Moscow
Moscow
92 : 106
Finished
Plavsk
Plavsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Moscow - Plavsk July 29, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Plavsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.95 / 2 1.75

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 47.3%
2 52.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Moscow - Plavsk

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.75 Fonbet · line only
1 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 199.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Over 200.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.95 51.3%
1.60 62.5%
1.72 58.1%
1.65 60.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.94 51.6%
2.25 44.4%
1.60 62.5%
1.72 58.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.95 51.3%
2.10 47.6%
1.58 63.3%
1.68 59.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.65 60.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 199.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 200.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 201.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 202.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 203.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 204.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 205.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 206.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 207.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 208.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 209.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 210.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 211.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 212.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 213.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 214.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 215.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 216.5 2.40 41.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.95 51.3%
1.75 57.1%
Match center
Moscow
L W L W W
29.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Moscow 97:98 Kaliningrad
27.07 19:00 UTC IPBL
Moscow 101:85 Voronezh
27.07 17:00 UTC IPBL
Moscow 83:88 Plavsk
27.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Moscow 109:99 Kaliningrad
24.07 17:00 UTC IPBL
Moscow 90:81 Plavsk
3 Wins
2 Losses
96.0 Scored
90.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Plavsk
W L W L L
28.07 15:00 UTC IPBL
Plavsk 108:97 Voronezh
27.07 20:00 UTC IPBL
Plavsk 89:102 Kaliningrad
27.07 17:00 UTC IPBL
Plavsk 88:83 Moskva
24.07 17:00 UTC IPBL
Plavsk 81:90 Moskva
23.07 20:00 UTC IPBL
Plavsk 86:93 Kaliningrad
2 Wins
3 Losses
90.4 Scored
93.0 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMoscow - Plavsk

Moscow
3 matches total
Plavsk
Moscow: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Plavsk: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Moskva 107:92 (22.07 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 199 goals (107:92, 22.07 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

27.07 17:00 UTC IPBL
Moskva
83:88
Plavsk
24.07 17:00 UTC IPBL
Moskva
90:81
Plavsk
22.07 17:00 UTC IPBL
Moskva
107:92
Plavsk