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IPBL
IPBL International
21.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

International

Murino (w) - Norilsk (w)

International Basketball
Murino (w)
Murino (w)
88 : 65
Finished
Norilsk (w)
Norilsk (w)

Murino (w) meet Norilsk (w) on July 21, 2026 in the IPBL, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Murino (w) 5-0-0, Norilsk (w) 0-0-5. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Murino (w) - Norilsk (w) July 21, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Murino (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 7.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 88.0%
2 12.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 88.0% @ 1.05 / 2 12.0% @ 7.70
Match center

Murino (w) - Norilsk (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 69.4% fact: home hit / ROI 19.0% / Brier 0.187 / LogLoss 0.365
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 57.8% fact: home hit / ROI 19.0% / Brier 0.357 / LogLoss 0.549
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 144.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 145.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.10 47.6%
2.23 44.8%
2.05 48.8%
2.20 45.5%
2.00 50.0%
1.87 53.5%
1.75 57.1%
2.07 48.3%
1.76 56.8%
2.45 40.8%
2.10 47.6%
1.85 54.1%
2.07 48.3%
1.47 68.0%
2.03 49.3%
1.90 52.6%
2.05 48.8%
2.13 47.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 144.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 145.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 146.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 147.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 148.5 1.46 68.5%
Over 149.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 150.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 151.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 152.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 153.5 2.85 35.1%
Over 154.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 155.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 156.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 157.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 158.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 159.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 160.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 161.5 2.20 45.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.05 95.2%
7.70 13.0%
Match center
Murino (w)
W W W W W
20.07 18:00 UTC IPBL
Murino (w) 91:69 Kaluga (zh)
19.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Murino (w) 86:75 Norilsk (zh)
17.07 18:00 UTC IPBL
Murino (w) 107:82 Kaluga (zh)
16.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Murino (w) 94:86 Vladivostok (zh)
16.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Murino (w) 89:63 Norilsk (zh)
5 Wins
0 Losses
93.4 Scored
75.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Norilsk (w)
L L L L L
20.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Norilsk (w) 59:86 Vladivostok (zh)
19.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Norilsk (w) 75:86 Murino (zh)
17.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Norilsk (w) 88:95 Vladivostok (zh)
16.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Norilsk (w) 63:89 Murino (zh)
14.07 18:00 UTC IPBL
Norilsk (w) 86:87 Vladivostok (zh)
0 Wins
5 Losses
74.2 Scored
88.6 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMurino (w) - Norilsk (w)

Murino (w)
3 matches total
Norilsk (w)
Murino (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Norilsk (w): 3 (100%)
Biggest win Murino (zh) 89:63 (16.07 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 161 goals (86:75, 19.07 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

19.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Murino (zh)
86:75
Norilsk (zh)
16.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Murino (zh)
89:63
Norilsk (zh)
14.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Murino (zh)
81:62
Norilsk (zh)