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IPBL International

30.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction

30.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Murino (w) - Norilsk (w)

International Basketball

Murino (w)

79 : 84

Finished

Norilsk (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Murino (w) - Norilsk (w) July 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Norilsk (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.70 / 2 1.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%

1 12.0%

2 88.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 30.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Match center

Murino (w) - Norilsk (w)

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.05 Fonbet · line only

1 7.70 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 160.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Over 161.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.20 45.5%
	1.50 66.7%
	1.65 60.6%
	1.60 62.5%
	2.40 41.7%
	2.10 47.6%
	2.40 41.7%
	2.35 42.6%
	2.07 48.3%
	2.30 43.5%
	1.63 61.4%
	1.76 56.8%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.50 66.7%
	1.68 59.5%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.77 56.5%
	2.10 47.6%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 160.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 161.5	1.48 67.6%
Over 162.5	1.60 62.5%
Over 163.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 164.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 165.5	1.77 56.5%
Over 166.5	1.93 51.8%
Over 167.5	1.52 65.8%
Over 168.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 169.5	1.43 69.9%
Over 170.5	1.57 63.7%
Over 171.5	1.76 56.8%
Over 172.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 173.5	2.30 43.5%
Over 174.5	2.65 37.7%
Over 175.5	2.20 45.5%
Over 176.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 177.5	2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	7.70 13.0%
	1.05 95.2%

Match center

Murino (w)

L W W W W

28.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Murino (w) 90:101 Vladivostok (zh)

26.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Murino (w) 85:84 Kaluga (zh)

26.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Murino (w) 99:83 Norilsk (zh)

23.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Murino (w) 90:82 Kaluga (zh)

23.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Murino (w) 86:77 Norilsk (zh)

4 Wins

1 Losses

90.0 Scored

85.4 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Norilsk (w)

W L W L L

28.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Norilsk (w) 85:81 Kaluga (zh)

26.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Norilsk (w) 83:99 Murino (zh)

23.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Norilsk (w) 77:72 Vladivostok (zh)

23.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Norilsk (w) 77:86 Murino (zh)

21.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Norilsk (w) 65:88 Murino (zh)

2 Wins

3 Losses

77.4 Scored

85.2 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMurino (w) - Norilsk (w)

Murino (w)

3 matches total

Norilsk (w)

Murino (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Norilsk (w): 3 (100%)

Biggest win Murino (zh) 88:65 (21.07 16:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 182 goals (99:83, 26.07 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

26.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Murino (zh)

99:83

Norilsk (zh)

23.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Murino (zh)

86:77

Norilsk (zh)

21.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Murino (zh)

88:65

Norilsk (zh)