Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
IPBL
IPBL International
16.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk

International Basketball
Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod
114 : 105
Finished
Krasnoyarsk
Krasnoyarsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk July 16, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nizhny Novgorod. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.12 / 2 5.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 82.6%
2 17.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 16.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Match center

Nizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.13 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 214.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Over 215.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.13 47.0%
2.10 47.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.87 53.5%
2.05 48.8%
1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.63 61.4%
1.50 66.7%
1.90 52.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.62 61.7%
1.95 51.3%
2.00 50.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.70 58.8%
1.60 62.5%
2.03 49.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 214.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 215.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 216.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 217.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 218.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 219.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 220.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 221.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 222.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 223.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 224.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 225.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 226.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 227.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 228.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 229.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 230.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 231.5 2.23 44.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.12 89.3%
5.30 18.9%
Match center
Nizhny Novgorod
W L L L W
15.07 02:10 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 119:115 Rostov-na-Donu
14.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 123:125 Volgograd
14.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 107:115 Krasnoyarsk
13.07 02:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 103:117 Rostov-na-Donu
12.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 102:87 Volgograd
2 Wins
3 Losses
110.8 Scored
111.8 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Krasnoyarsk
L L W W W
15.07 01:05 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 119:123 Volgograd
15.07 00:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 121:122 Rostov-na-Donu
14.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 115:107 Nizhniy Novgorod
13.07 01:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 112:108 Volgograd
13.07 00:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 107:90 Rostov-na-Donu
3 Wins
2 Losses
114.8 Scored
110.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk

Nizhny Novgorod
3 matches total
Krasnoyarsk
Nizhny Novgorod: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Krasnoyarsk: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Krasnoyarsk 107:115 (14.07 21:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 222 goals (107:115, 14.07 21:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

14.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhniy Novgorod
107:115
Krasnoyarsk
12.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhniy Novgorod
107:112
Krasnoyarsk
09.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhniy Novgorod
97:100
Krasnoyarsk