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IPBL International

21.07.2026 21:00 UTC Match prediction

21.07.2026 21:00 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk

International Basketball

Nizhny Novgorod

108 : 114

Finished

Krasnoyarsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk July 21, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nizhny Novgorod. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%

1 89.1%

2 10.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 21.07.2026 21:00 UTC

Match center

Nizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 62.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.788 / LogLoss 0.988

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 55.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.607 / LogLoss 0.801

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.50 Fonbet · line only

1 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 175.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Over 176.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.20 45.5%
	2.23 44.8%
	1.83 54.6%
	1.93 51.8%
	2.05 48.8%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.83 54.6%
	1.93 51.8%
	2.20 45.5%
	2.30 43.5%
	2.03 49.3%
	2.35 42.6%
	2.03 49.3%
	2.55 39.2%
	2.20 45.5%
	1.90 52.6%
	2.03 49.3%
	1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 175.5	1.60 62.5%
Over 176.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 177.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 178.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 179.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 180.5	2.03 49.3%
Over 181.5	2.15 46.5%
Over 182.5	1.60 62.5%
Over 183.5	1.68 59.5%
Over 184.5	1.77 56.5%
Over 185.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 186.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 187.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 189.5	1.58 63.3%
Over 190.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 191.5	1.75 57.1%
Over 192.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 193.5	1.95 51.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.04 96.2%
	8.50 11.8%

Match center

Nizhny Novgorod

W W W L W

20.07 02:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 107:105 Rostov-na-Donu

19.07 23:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 119:97 Volgograd

19.07 21:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 124:116 Krasnoyarsk

17.07 02:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 114:119 Rostov-na-Donu

16.07 23:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 109:108 Volgograd

4 Wins

1 Losses

114.6 Scored

109.0 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Krasnoyarsk

W L L L W

20.07 01:00 UTC IPBL

Krasnoyarsk 108:103 Volgograd

20.07 00:00 UTC IPBL

Krasnoyarsk 105:119 Rostov-na-Donu

19.07 21:00 UTC IPBL

Krasnoyarsk 116:124 Nizhniy Novgorod

17.07 01:00 UTC IPBL

Krasnoyarsk 113:140 Volgograd

17.07 00:00 UTC IPBL

Krasnoyarsk 124:114 Rostov-na-Donu

2 Wins

3 Losses

113.2 Scored

120.0 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk

Nizhny Novgorod

3 matches total

Krasnoyarsk

Nizhny Novgorod: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Krasnoyarsk: 3 (100%)

Biggest win Nizhniy Novgorod 114:105 (16.07 21:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 240 goals (124:116, 19.07 21:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

19.07 21:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhniy Novgorod

124:116

Krasnoyarsk

16.07 21:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhniy Novgorod

114:105

Krasnoyarsk

14.07 21:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhniy Novgorod

107:115

Krasnoyarsk