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IPBL
IPBL International
23.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk

International Basketball
Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod
119 : 107
Finished
Krasnoyarsk
Krasnoyarsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk July 23, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nizhny Novgorod. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.12 / 2 5.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 82.6%
2 17.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Match center

Nizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 203.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only
Over 204.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.00 50.0%
2.13 47.0%
2.10 47.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.60 62.5%
1.46 68.5%
1.80 55.6%
2.20 45.5%
2.20 45.5%
2.03 49.3%
1.87 53.5%
2.00 50.0%
1.75 57.1%
1.62 61.7%
1.62 61.7%
1.87 53.5%
1.76 56.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 203.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 204.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 205.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 206.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 207.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 208.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 209.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 210.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 211.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 212.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 213.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 214.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 215.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 216.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 217.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 218.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 219.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 220.5 1.57 63.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.12 89.3%
5.30 18.9%
Match center
Nizhny Novgorod
L L L W W
22.07 02:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 114:115 Rostov-na-Donu
21.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 96:117 Volgograd
21.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 108:114 Krasnoyarsk
20.07 02:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 107:105 Rostov-na-Donu
19.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 119:97 Volgograd
2 Wins
3 Losses
108.8 Scored
109.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Krasnoyarsk
L W W W L
22.07 01:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 101:125 Volgograd
22.07 00:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 127:103 Rostov-na-Donu
21.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 114:108 Nizhniy Novgorod
20.07 01:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 108:103 Volgograd
20.07 00:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 105:119 Rostov-na-Donu
3 Wins
2 Losses
111.0 Scored
111.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk

Nizhny Novgorod
3 matches total
Krasnoyarsk
Nizhny Novgorod: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Krasnoyarsk: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Nizhniy Novgorod 114:105 (16.07 21:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 240 goals (124:116, 19.07 21:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

21.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhniy Novgorod
108:114
Krasnoyarsk
19.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhniy Novgorod
124:116
Krasnoyarsk
16.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhniy Novgorod
114:105
Krasnoyarsk