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IPBL
IPBL International
28.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk

International Basketball
Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod
84 : 93
Finished
Krasnoyarsk
Krasnoyarsk

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk July 28, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Krasnoyarsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.00 / 2 1.03

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 10.3%
2 89.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 21:00 UTC
Match center

Nizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 174.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 175.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.03 49.3%
2.15 46.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.62 61.7%
1.85 54.1%
1.76 56.8%
1.68 59.5%
1.83 54.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.95 51.3%
1.80 55.6%
1.67 59.9%
1.55 64.5%
1.65 60.6%
1.65 60.6%
2.03 49.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 174.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 175.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 176.5 1.46 68.5%
Over 177.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 178.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 179.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 180.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 181.5 2.52 39.7%
Over 182.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 183.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 184.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 185.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 186.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 187.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 188.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 189.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 190.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 191.5 2.07 48.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
9.00 11.1%
1.03 97.1%
Match center
Nizhny Novgorod
W W W L W
27.07 02:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 115:107 Rostov-na-Donu
26.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 118:112 Volgograd
26.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 115:83 Krasnoyarsk
24.07 02:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 94:101 Rostov-na-Donu
23.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 110:94 Volgograd
4 Wins
1 Losses
110.4 Scored
99.4 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Krasnoyarsk
L W L L L
27.07 01:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 103:106 Volgograd
27.07 00:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 94:84 Rostov-na-Donu
26.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 83:115 Nizhniy Novgorod
24.07 01:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 111:124 Volgograd
24.07 00:00 UTC IPBL
Krasnoyarsk 105:124 Rostov-na-Donu
1 Wins
4 Losses
99.2 Scored
110.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNizhny Novgorod - Krasnoyarsk

Nizhny Novgorod
3 matches total
Krasnoyarsk
Nizhny Novgorod: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Krasnoyarsk: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Nizhniy Novgorod 115:83 (26.07 21:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 226 goals (119:107, 23.07 21:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

26.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhniy Novgorod
115:83
Krasnoyarsk
23.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhniy Novgorod
119:107
Krasnoyarsk
21.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhniy Novgorod
108:114
Krasnoyarsk