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IPBL
IPBL International
17.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov-on-Don

International Basketball
Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod
114 : 119
Finished
Rostov-on-Don
Rostov-on-Don

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov-on-Don July 17, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rostov-on-Don. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.00 / 2 1.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 23.1%
2 76.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov-on-Don

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1 4.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 209.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Over 210.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.65 60.6%
2.00 50.0%
1.87 53.5%
2.05 48.8%
2.30 43.5%
2.25 44.4%
1.85 54.1%
1.95 51.3%
2.13 47.0%
2.03 49.3%
2.15 46.5%
2.03 49.3%
1.58 63.3%
2.15 46.5%
1.65 60.6%
1.67 59.9%
1.83 54.6%
1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 209.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 210.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 211.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 212.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 213.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 214.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 215.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 216.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 217.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 218.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 219.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 220.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 221.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 222.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 223.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 224.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 225.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 226.5 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
4.00 25.0%
1.20 83.3%
Match center
Nizhny Novgorod
W W W L L
16.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 109:108 Volgograd
16.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 114:105 Krasnoyarsk
15.07 02:10 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 119:115 Rostov-na-Donu
14.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 123:125 Volgograd
14.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 107:115 Krasnoyarsk
3 Wins
2 Losses
114.4 Scored
113.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Rostov-on-Don
L W L W W
17.07 00:00 UTC IPBL
Rostov-on-Don 114:124 Krasnoyarsk
16.07 22:00 UTC IPBL
Rostov-on-Don 107:102 Volgograd
15.07 02:10 UTC IPBL
Rostov-on-Don 115:119 Nizhniy Novgorod
15.07 00:00 UTC IPBL
Rostov-on-Don 122:121 Krasnoyarsk
14.07 22:00 UTC IPBL
Rostov-on-Don 122:115 Volgograd
3 Wins
2 Losses
116.0 Scored
116.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNizhny Novgorod - Rostov-on-Don

Nizhny Novgorod
3 matches total
Rostov-on-Don
Nizhny Novgorod: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Rostov-on-Don: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Rostov-na-Donu 87:107 (09.07 02:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 234 goals (119:115, 15.07 02:10 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

15.07 02:10 UTC IPBL
Nizhniy Novgorod
119:115
Rostov-na-Donu
13.07 02:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhniy Novgorod
103:117
Rostov-na-Donu
09.07 02:15 UTC IPBL
Nizhniy Novgorod
87:107
Rostov-na-Donu