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IPBL
IPBL International
20.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov-on-Don

International Basketball
Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod
107 : 105
Finished
Rostov-on-Don
Rostov-on-Don

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov-on-Don July 20, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rostov-on-Don. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.30 / 2 1.06

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 12.7%
2 87.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Match center

Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov-on-Don

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1 7.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.13 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 192.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Over 193.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.50 66.7%
1.65 60.6%
1.50 66.7%
1.65 60.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.63 61.4%
1.57 63.7%
1.58 63.3%
1.60 62.5%
1.60 62.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.62 61.7%
1.93 51.8%
2.23 44.8%
2.05 48.8%
1.90 52.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.65 60.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 192.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 193.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 194.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 195.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 196.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 197.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 198.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 199.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 200.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 201.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 202.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 203.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 204.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 205.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 206.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 207.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 208.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 209.5 2.65 37.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
7.30 13.7%
1.06 94.3%
Match center
Nizhny Novgorod
W W L W W
19.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 119:97 Volgograd
19.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 124:116 Krasnoyarsk
17.07 02:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 114:119 Rostov-na-Donu
16.07 23:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 109:108 Volgograd
16.07 21:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhny Novgorod 114:105 Krasnoyarsk
4 Wins
1 Losses
116.0 Scored
109.0 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Rostov-on-Don
W W W L W
20.07 00:00 UTC IPBL
Rostov-on-Don 119:105 Krasnoyarsk
19.07 22:05 UTC IPBL
Rostov-on-Don 121:120 Volgograd
17.07 02:00 UTC IPBL
Rostov-on-Don 119:114 Nizhniy Novgorod
17.07 00:00 UTC IPBL
Rostov-on-Don 114:124 Krasnoyarsk
16.07 22:00 UTC IPBL
Rostov-on-Don 107:102 Volgograd
4 Wins
1 Losses
116.0 Scored
113.0 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNizhny Novgorod - Rostov-on-Don

Nizhny Novgorod
3 matches total
Rostov-on-Don
Nizhny Novgorod: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Rostov-on-Don: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Rostov-na-Donu 103:117 (13.07 02:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 234 goals (119:115, 15.07 02:10 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

17.07 02:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhniy Novgorod
114:119
Rostov-na-Donu
15.07 02:10 UTC IPBL
Nizhniy Novgorod
119:115
Rostov-na-Donu
13.07 02:00 UTC IPBL
Nizhniy Novgorod
103:117
Rostov-na-Donu