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IPBL International

22.07.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction

22.07.2026 02:00 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov-on-Don

International Basketball

Nizhny Novgorod

114 : 115

Finished

Rostov-on-Don

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov-on-Don July 22, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rostov-on-Don. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.70 / 2 1.23

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%

1 24.9%

2 75.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 22.07.2026 02:00 UTC

Match center

Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov-on-Don

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 52.2% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.545 / LogLoss 0.738

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 50.9% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.518 / LogLoss 0.711

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.23 Fonbet · line only

1 3.70 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 2.45 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 215.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Over 216.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.48 67.6%
	1.63 61.4%
	2.03 49.3%
	2.25 44.4%
	1.60 62.5%
	1.76 56.8%
	1.94 51.6%
	2.15 46.5%
	2.45 40.8%
	2.23 44.8%
	2.15 46.5%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.72 58.1%
	1.77 56.5%
	1.70 58.8%
	1.87 53.5%
	1.77 56.5%
	1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 215.5	1.68 59.5%
Over 216.5	1.76 56.8%
Over 217.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 218.5	1.58 63.3%
Over 219.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 220.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 221.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 222.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 223.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 224.5	1.94 51.6%
Over 225.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 226.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 227.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 228.5	2.05 48.8%
Over 229.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 230.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 231.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 232.5	1.52 65.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	3.70 27.0%
	1.23 81.3%

Match center

Nizhny Novgorod

L L W W W

21.07 23:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 96:117 Volgograd

21.07 21:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 108:114 Krasnoyarsk

20.07 02:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 107:105 Rostov-na-Donu

19.07 23:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 119:97 Volgograd

19.07 21:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhny Novgorod 124:116 Krasnoyarsk

3 Wins

2 Losses

110.8 Scored

109.8 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Rostov-on-Don

L L L W W

22.07 00:00 UTC IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 103:127 Krasnoyarsk

21.07 22:00 UTC IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 99:105 Volgograd

20.07 02:00 UTC IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 105:107 Nizhniy Novgorod

20.07 00:00 UTC IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 119:105 Krasnoyarsk

19.07 22:05 UTC IPBL

Rostov-on-Don 121:120 Volgograd

2 Wins

3 Losses

109.4 Scored

112.8 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNizhny Novgorod - Rostov-on-Don

Nizhny Novgorod

3 matches total

Rostov-on-Don

Nizhny Novgorod: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Rostov-on-Don: 3 (100%)

Biggest win Rostov-na-Donu 114:119 (17.07 02:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 234 goals (119:115, 15.07 02:10 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

20.07 02:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhniy Novgorod

107:105

Rostov-na-Donu

17.07 02:00 UTC IPBL

Nizhniy Novgorod

114:119

Rostov-na-Donu

15.07 02:10 UTC IPBL

Nizhniy Novgorod

119:115

Rostov-na-Donu