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IPBL International

20.07.2026 11:05 UTC Match prediction

20.07.2026 11:05 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Novokuznetsk (w) - Magnitogorsk (w)

International Basketball

Novokuznetsk (w)

103 : 86

Finished

Magnitogorsk (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Novokuznetsk (w) - Magnitogorsk (w) July 20, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Novokuznetsk (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.19 / 2 4.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 7.8%

1 77.9%

2 22.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.07.2026 11:05 UTC

Match center

Novokuznetsk (w) - Magnitogorsk (w)

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 52.7% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.555 / LogLoss 0.748

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 51.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.522 / LogLoss 0.715

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.20 Fonbet · line only

1 1.19 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 178.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only

Over 179.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.15 46.5%
	1.87 53.5%
	1.48 67.6%
	1.60 62.5%
	1.63 61.4%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.70 58.8%
	1.52 65.8%
	1.62 61.7%
	1.94 51.6%
	2.03 49.3%
	2.07 48.3%
	1.76 56.8%
	1.75 57.1%
	1.65 60.6%
	2.07 48.3%
	1.83 54.6%
	1.63 61.4%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 178.5	1.38 72.5%
Over 179.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 180.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 181.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 182.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 183.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 184.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 185.5	1.60 62.5%
Over 186.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 187.5	1.58 63.3%
Over 188.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 189.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 190.5	2.00 50.0%
Over 191.5	1.45 69.0%
Over 192.5	1.58 63.3%
Over 193.5	1.75 57.1%
Over 194.5	1.93 51.8%
Over 195.5	2.20 45.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.19 84.0%
	4.20 23.8%

Match center

Novokuznetsk (w)

L W L L L

20.07 09:00 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (w) 78:91 Bryansk (zh)

17.07 13:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (w) 108:81 Izhevsk (zh)

17.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (w) 100:111 Magnitogorsk (zh)

17.07 09:00 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (w) 94:105 Bryansk (zh)

15.07 13:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (w) 100:109 Izhevsk (zh)

1 Wins

4 Losses

96.0 Scored

99.4 Conceded

20% Win percentage

Magnitogorsk (w)

W W W W L

20.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (w) 97:94 Izhevsk (zh)

18.07 14:00 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (w) 106:105 Bryansk (zh)

17.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (w) 111:100 Novokuznetsk (zh)

17.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (w) 93:74 Izhevsk (zh)

15.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (w) 96:99 Novokuznetsk (zh)

4 Wins

1 Losses

100.6 Scored

94.4 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNovokuznetsk (w) - Magnitogorsk (w)

Novokuznetsk (w)

3 matches total

Magnitogorsk (w)

Novokuznetsk (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Magnitogorsk (w): 3 (100%)

Biggest win Magnitogorsk (zh) 100:111 (17.07 11:05 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 229 goals (117:112, 13.07 11:05 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

17.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh)

100:111

Magnitogorsk (zh)

15.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh)

99:96

Magnitogorsk (zh)

13.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh)

117:112

Magnitogorsk (zh)