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IPBL International

22.07.2026 11:05 UTC Match prediction

22.07.2026 11:05 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Novokuznetsk (w) - Magnitogorsk (w)

International Basketball

Novokuznetsk (w)

102 : 101

Finished

Magnitogorsk (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Novokuznetsk (w) - Magnitogorsk (w) July 22, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Novokuznetsk (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.48 / 2 2.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.4%

1 62.3%

2 37.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 22.07.2026 11:05 UTC

Match center

Novokuznetsk (w) - Magnitogorsk (w)

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 56.9% fact: home hit / ROI 120.0% / Brier 0.371 / LogLoss 0.563

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 52.8% fact: home hit / ROI 120.0% / Brier 0.446 / LogLoss 0.639

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.45 Fonbet · line only

1 1.48 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.70 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 197.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Over 198.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.40 71.4%
	1.76 56.8%
	2.10 47.6%
	2.03 49.3%
	2.03 49.3%
	2.30 43.5%
	2.30 43.5%
	2.10 47.6%
	2.03 49.3%
	2.20 45.5%
	2.05 48.8%
	2.70 37.0%
	1.94 51.6%
	1.65 60.6%
	1.70 58.8%
	1.52 65.8%
	1.55 64.5%
	1.57 63.7%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 197.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 198.5	1.40 71.4%
Over 199.5	1.55 64.5%
Over 200.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 201.5	1.93 51.8%
Over 202.5	2.20 45.5%
Over 203.5	2.52 39.7%
Over 204.5	1.58 63.3%
Over 205.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 206.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 207.5	2.13 47.0%
Over 208.5	2.35 42.6%
Over 209.5	2.35 42.6%
Over 210.5	1.87 53.5%
Over 211.5	2.00 50.0%
Over 212.5	2.13 47.0%
Over 213.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 214.5	2.07 48.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.48 67.6%
	2.45 40.8%

Match center

Novokuznetsk (w)

L W W L W

22.07 09:00 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (w) 108:112 Bryansk (zh)

20.07 13:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (w) 111:107 Izhevsk (zh)

20.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (w) 103:86 Magnitogorsk (zh)

20.07 09:00 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (w) 78:91 Bryansk (zh)

17.07 13:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (w) 108:81 Izhevsk (zh)

3 Wins

2 Losses

101.6 Scored

95.4 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Magnitogorsk (w)

W L L W W

22.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (w) 108:90 Izhevsk (zh)

20.07 14:00 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (w) 77:100 Bryansk (zh)

20.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (w) 86:103 Novokuznetsk (zh)

20.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (w) 97:94 Izhevsk (zh)

18.07 14:00 UTC IPBL

Magnitogorsk (w) 106:105 Bryansk (zh)

3 Wins

2 Losses

94.8 Scored

98.4 Conceded

60% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNovokuznetsk (w) - Magnitogorsk (w)

Novokuznetsk (w)

3 matches total

Magnitogorsk (w)

Novokuznetsk (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Magnitogorsk (w): 3 (100%)

Biggest win Novokuznetsk (zh) 103:86 (20.07 11:05 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 211 goals (100:111, 17.07 11:05 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

20.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh)

103:86

Magnitogorsk (zh)

17.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh)

100:111

Magnitogorsk (zh)

15.07 11:05 UTC IPBL

Novokuznetsk (zh)

99:96

Magnitogorsk (zh)