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IPBL
IPBL International
29.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Novosibirsk - Sochi

International Basketball
Novosibirsk
Novosibirsk
120 : 109
Finished
Sochi
Sochi

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Novosibirsk - Sochi July 29, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Novosibirsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.27 / 2 3.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 72.8%
2 27.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

Novosibirsk - Sochi

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.27 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 205.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only
Over 206.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
2.15 46.5%
1.72 58.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.60 62.5%
1.83 54.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.63 61.4%
2.03 49.3%
1.90 52.6%
1.77 56.5%
2.40 41.7%
1.68 59.5%
1.65 60.6%
2.05 48.8%
1.80 55.6%
1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 205.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 206.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 207.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 208.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 209.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 210.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 211.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 212.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 213.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 214.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 215.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 216.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 217.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 218.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 222.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 223.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 224.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 225.5 1.63 61.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.27 78.7%
3.40 29.4%
Match center
Novosibirsk
W W W W W
29.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 96:85 Barnaul
27.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 137:132 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
27.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 106:99 Sochi
27.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 114:93 Barnaul
24.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 126:123 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
5 Wins
0 Losses
115.8 Scored
106.4 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Sochi
W W L W W
29.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 91:85 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
27.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 94:92 Barnaul
27.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 99:106 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
27.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 116:109 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
24.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 110:106 Barnaul
4 Wins
1 Losses
102.0 Scored
99.6 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNovosibirsk - Sochi

Novosibirsk
3 matches total
Sochi
Novosibirsk: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sochi: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Sochi 101:113 (24.07 06:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 229 goals (114:115, 22.07 06:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

27.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk
106:99
Sochi
24.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk
101:113
Sochi
22.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk
114:115
Sochi