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IPBL
IPBL International
31.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Novosibirsk - Sochi

International Basketball
Novosibirsk
Novosibirsk
96 : 114
Finished
Sochi
Sochi

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Novosibirsk - Sochi July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sochi. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.50 / 2 1.08

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 14.2%
2 85.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

Novosibirsk - Sochi

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1 6.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 203.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 204.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.65 60.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.80 55.6%
1.95 51.3%
2.20 45.5%
1.50 66.7%
1.65 60.6%
1.85 54.1%
2.07 48.3%
2.03 49.3%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.95 51.3%
1.87 53.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 203.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 204.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 205.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 206.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 207.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 208.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 209.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 210.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 211.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 212.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 213.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 214.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 215.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 216.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 217.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 218.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 219.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 220.5 2.20 45.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
6.50 15.4%
1.08 92.6%
Match center
Novosibirsk
W W W W W
31.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 120:114 Barnaul
29.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 124:108 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
29.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 120:109 Sochi
29.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 96:85 Barnaul
27.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk 137:132 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
5 Wins
0 Losses
119.4 Scored
109.6 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Sochi
W W L W W
31.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 107:93 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
29.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 108:87 Barnaul
29.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 109:120 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
29.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 91:85 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
27.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 94:92 Barnaul
4 Wins
1 Losses
101.8 Scored
95.4 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNovosibirsk - Sochi

Novosibirsk
3 matches total
Sochi
Novosibirsk: 2 (66.7%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sochi: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Sochi 101:113 (24.07 06:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 229 goals (120:109, 29.07 06:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

29.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk
120:109
Sochi
27.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk
106:99
Sochi
24.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Novosibirsk
101:113
Sochi