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IPBL
IPBL International
30.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Orenburg (w) - Vologda (w)

International Basketball
Orenburg (w)
Orenburg (w)
84 : 86
Finished
Vologda (w)
Vologda (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Orenburg (w) - Vologda (w) July 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Vologda (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.30 / 2 1.12

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 17.4%
2 82.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

Orenburg (w) - Vologda (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1 5.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.13 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 148.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 149.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.13 47.0%
1.87 53.5%
1.60 62.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.67 59.9%
1.62 61.7%
1.80 55.6%
1.72 58.1%
1.63 61.4%
1.65 60.6%
1.67 59.9%
1.67 59.9%
1.52 65.8%
1.75 57.1%
1.62 61.7%
1.72 58.1%
1.58 63.3%
1.83 54.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 148.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 149.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 150.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 151.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 152.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 153.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 154.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 155.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 156.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 157.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 158.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 159.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 160.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 161.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 162.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 163.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 164.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 165.5 2.50 40.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
5.30 18.9%
1.12 89.3%
Match center
Orenburg (w)
L W W W L
30.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Orenburg (w) 67:96 Severodvinsk (zh)
26.07 07:05 UTC IPBL
Orenburg (w) 102:96 Kursk (zh)
26.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Orenburg (w) 102:78 Vologda (zh)
26.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Orenburg (w) 101:75 Severodvinsk (zh)
23.07 07:05 UTC IPBL
Orenburg (w) 81:96 Kursk (zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
90.6 Scored
88.2 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Vologda (w)
L L L L L
30.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Vologda (w) 77:91 Kursk (zh)
26.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Vologda (w) 69:89 Severodvinsk (zh)
26.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Vologda (w) 78:102 Orenburg (zh)Orenburg (zh)
26.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Vologda (w) 78:98 Kursk (zh)
23.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Vologda (w) 82:96 Severodvinsk (zh)
0 Wins
5 Losses
76.8 Scored
95.2 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOrenburg (w) - Vologda (w)

Orenburg (w)
3 matches total
Vologda (w)
Orenburg (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Vologda (w): 3 (100%)
Biggest win Orenburg (zh) 102:78 (26.07 06:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 203 goals (104:99, 23.07 06:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

26.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Orenburg (zh)
102:78
Vologda (zh)
23.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Orenburg (zh)
104:99
Vologda (zh)
19.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Orenburg (zh)
71:87
Vologda (zh)