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IPBL
IPBL International
11.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Penza (w) - Stary Oskol (w)

International Basketball
Penza (w)
Penza (w)
87 : 68
Finished
Stary Oskol (w)
Stary Oskol (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Penza (w) - Stary Oskol (w) July 11, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Penza (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.16 / 2 4.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 79.5%
2 20.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Penza (w) - Stary Oskol (w)

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 145.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Over 146.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.48 67.6%
1.52 65.8%
2.45 40.8%
2.35 42.6%
2.03 49.3%
1.77 56.5%
1.58 63.3%
1.43 69.9%
1.48 67.6%
1.70 58.8%
1.90 52.6%
1.62 61.7%
2.13 47.0%
2.23 44.8%
1.95 51.3%
1.80 55.6%
2.30 43.5%
2.07 48.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 145.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 146.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 147.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 148.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 149.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 150.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 151.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 152.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 153.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 154.5 1.46 68.5%
Over 155.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 156.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 157.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 158.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 159.5 2.90 34.5%
Over 160.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 161.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 162.5 2.45 40.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.16 86.2%
4.50 22.2%
Match center
Penza (w)
W W
08.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 78:72 Ivanovo (zh)
08.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 105:83 Staryy Oskol (zh)
2 Wins
0 Losses
91.5 Scored
77.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Stary Oskol (w)
W L
08.07 18:00 UTC IPBL
Stary Oskol (w) 81:70 Kostroma (zh)
08.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Stary Oskol (w) 83:105 Penza (zh)
1 Wins
1 Losses
82.0 Scored
87.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPenza (w) - Stary Oskol (w)

Penza (w)
1 matches total
Stary Oskol (w)
Penza (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Stary Oskol (w): 1 (100%)
Biggest win Penza (zh) 105:83 (08.07 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 188 goals (105:83, 08.07 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

08.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Penza (zh)
105:83
Staryy Oskol (zh)