Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
IPBL
IPBL International
18.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Penza (w) - Stary Oskol (w)

International Basketball
Penza (w)
Penza (w)
85 : 73
Finished
Stary Oskol (w)
Stary Oskol (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Penza (w) - Stary Oskol (w) July 18, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Penza (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 9.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 89.7%
2 10.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 18.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Penza (w) - Stary Oskol (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.94 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.94 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 154.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 155.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.76 56.8%
1.76 56.8%
1.65 60.6%
1.46 68.5%
1.72 58.1%
1.57 63.7%
1.65 60.6%
1.50 66.7%
1.67 59.9%
1.55 64.5%
2.25 44.4%
2.20 45.5%
2.00 50.0%
1.87 53.5%
2.55 39.2%
2.13 47.0%
2.15 46.5%
1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 154.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 155.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 156.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 157.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 158.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 159.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 160.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 161.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 162.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 163.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 164.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 165.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 166.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 167.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 168.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 169.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 170.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 171.5 2.03 49.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
9.00 11.1%
Match center
Penza (w)
L W L W W
15.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 85:91 Ivanovo (zh)
15.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 91:79 Staryy Oskol (zh)
11.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 85:98 Ivanovo (zh)
11.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 87:68 Staryy Oskol (zh)
08.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 78:72 Ivanovo (zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
85.2 Scored
81.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Stary Oskol (w)
W L L L W
15.07 18:00 UTC IPBL
Stary Oskol (w) 83:72 Kostroma (zh)
15.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Stary Oskol (w) 79:91 Penza (zh)
11.07 18:00 UTC IPBL
Stary Oskol (w) 90:92 Kostroma (zh)
11.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Stary Oskol (w) 68:87 Penza (zh)
08.07 18:00 UTC IPBL
Stary Oskol (w) 81:70 Kostroma (zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
80.2 Scored
82.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPenza (w) - Stary Oskol (w)

Penza (w)
3 matches total
Stary Oskol (w)
Penza (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Stary Oskol (w): 3 (100%)
Biggest win Penza (zh) 105:83 (08.07 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 188 goals (105:83, 08.07 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

15.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Penza (zh)
91:79
Staryy Oskol (zh)
11.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Penza (zh)
87:68
Staryy Oskol (zh)
08.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Penza (zh)
105:83
Staryy Oskol (zh)