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IPBL International

22.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction

22.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Penza (w) - Stary Oskol (w)

International Basketball

Penza (w)

85 : 74

Finished

Stary Oskol (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Penza (w) - Stary Oskol (w) July 22, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Penza (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.10 / 2 5.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%

1 84.1%

2 15.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 22.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Match center

Penza (w) - Stary Oskol (w)

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 68.6% fact: home hit / ROI 220.0% / Brier 0.197 / LogLoss 0.377

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 57.4% fact: home hit / ROI 220.0% / Brier 0.362 / LogLoss 0.555

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.80 Fonbet · line only

1 1.10 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 152.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only

Over 153.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	2.20 45.5%
	1.93 51.8%
	1.93 51.8%
	2.20 45.5%
	2.00 50.0%
	1.52 65.8%
	2.13 47.0%
	1.83 54.6%
	1.68 59.5%
	1.77 56.5%
	2.40 41.7%
	2.15 46.5%
	2.55 39.2%
	2.20 45.5%
	1.90 52.6%
	1.85 54.1%
	1.60 62.5%
	1.57 63.7%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 152.5	1.57 63.7%
Over 153.5	1.52 65.8%
Over 154.5	1.48 67.6%
Over 155.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 156.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 157.5	2.03 49.3%
Over 158.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 159.5	2.10 47.6%
Over 160.5	1.75 57.1%
Over 161.5	2.05 48.8%
Over 162.5	1.80 55.6%
Over 163.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 164.5	2.20 45.5%
Over 165.5	2.45 40.8%
Over 166.5	2.23 44.8%
Over 167.5	2.25 44.4%
Over 168.5	1.76 56.8%
Over 169.5	1.87 53.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.10 90.9%
	5.80 17.2%

Match center

Penza (w)

L W L W L

18.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Penza (w) 71:88 Ivanovo (zh)

18.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Penza (w) 85:73 Staryy Oskol (zh)

15.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Penza (w) 85:91 Ivanovo (zh)

15.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Penza (w) 91:79 Staryy Oskol (zh)

11.07 17:05 UTC IPBL

Penza (w) 85:98 Ivanovo (zh)

2 Wins

3 Losses

83.4 Scored

85.8 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Stary Oskol (w)

L L W L L

18.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Stary Oskol (w) 79:100 Kostroma (zh)

18.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Stary Oskol (w) 73:85 Penza (zh)

15.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Stary Oskol (w) 83:72 Kostroma (zh)

15.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Stary Oskol (w) 79:91 Penza (zh)

11.07 18:00 UTC IPBL

Stary Oskol (w) 90:92 Kostroma (zh)

1 Wins

4 Losses

80.8 Scored

88.0 Conceded

20% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPenza (w) - Stary Oskol (w)

Penza (w)

3 matches total

Stary Oskol (w)

Penza (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Stary Oskol (w): 3 (100%)

Biggest win Penza (zh) 87:68 (11.07 16:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 170 goals (91:79, 15.07 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

18.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Penza (zh)

85:73

Staryy Oskol (zh)

15.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Penza (zh)

91:79

Staryy Oskol (zh)

11.07 16:00 UTC IPBL

Penza (zh)

87:68

Staryy Oskol (zh)