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IPBL
IPBL International
25.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Penza (w) - Stary Oskol (w)

International Basketball
Penza (w)
Penza (w)
69 : 76
Finished
Stary Oskol (w)
Stary Oskol (w)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Penza (w) - Stary Oskol (w) July 25, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Stary Oskol (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 6.80 / 2 1.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 13.6%
2 86.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Penza (w) - Stary Oskol (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1 6.80 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 139.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only
Over 140.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.55 64.5%
1.72 58.1%
2.03 49.3%
2.30 43.5%
1.72 58.1%
2.35 42.6%
1.55 64.5%
1.60 62.5%
1.76 56.8%
1.65 60.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.70 58.8%
2.07 48.3%
1.93 51.8%
1.80 55.6%
1.68 59.5%
1.58 63.3%
1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 139.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 140.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 141.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 142.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 143.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 144.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 145.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 146.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 147.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 148.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 149.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 150.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 151.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 152.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 153.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 154.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 155.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 156.5 2.23 44.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
6.80 14.7%
1.07 93.5%
Match center
Penza (w)
W W L W L
22.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 90:87 Ivanovo (zh)
22.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 85:74 Staryy Oskol (zh)
18.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 71:88 Ivanovo (zh)
18.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 85:73 Staryy Oskol (zh)
15.07 17:05 UTC IPBL
Penza (w) 85:91 Ivanovo (zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
83.2 Scored
82.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Stary Oskol (w)
L L L W L
22.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Stary Oskol (w) 74:85 Penza (zh)
18.07 18:00 UTC IPBL
Stary Oskol (w) 79:100 Kostroma (zh)
18.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Stary Oskol (w) 73:85 Penza (zh)
15.07 18:00 UTC IPBL
Stary Oskol (w) 83:72 Kostroma (zh)
15.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Stary Oskol (w) 79:91 Penza (zh)
1 Wins
4 Losses
77.6 Scored
86.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPenza (w) - Stary Oskol (w)

Penza (w)
3 matches total
Stary Oskol (w)
Penza (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Stary Oskol (w): 3 (100%)
Biggest win Penza (zh) 85:73 (18.07 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 170 goals (91:79, 15.07 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

22.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Penza (zh)
85:74
Staryy Oskol (zh)
18.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Penza (zh)
85:73
Staryy Oskol (zh)
15.07 16:00 UTC IPBL
Penza (zh)
91:79
Staryy Oskol (zh)