IPBL
IPBL International
10.07.2026 09:15 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Piranhas - Octopus

International Basketball
Piranhas
Piranhas
143 : 147
Finished
Octopus
Octopus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Piranhas - Octopus 10 июля 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Octopus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.30 / 2 1.12

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 17.4%
2 82.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.07.2026 09:15 MSK
Match center

Piranhas - Octopus

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1 5.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 255.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Over 256.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

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bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +2.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 +3.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 +4.5 2.23 44.8%
П2 -0.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -1.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 -10.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 -11.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -12.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 -13.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -2.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -3.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -4.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 -5.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 -6.5 1.76 56.8%
П2 -7.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -8.5 1.63 61.4%
П2 -9.5 1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 255.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 256.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 257.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 258.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 259.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 260.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 261.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 262.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 263.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 264.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 265.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 266.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 267.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 268.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 269.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 270.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 271.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 272.5 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 5.30 18.9%
П2 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Piranhas
W L L L
09.07 14:15 МСК IPBL
Piranhas 128:115 Reyvens
09.07 10:30 МСК IPBL
Piranhas 113:125 Birz
08.07 09:15 МСК IPBL
Piranhas 115:116 Oktopus
07.07 10:30 МСК IPBL
Piranhas 126:129 Birz
1 Wins
3 Losses
120.5 Scored
121.3 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Octopus
L W L W
09.07 13:00 МСК IPBL
Octopus 111:130 Birz
08.07 09:15 МСК IPBL
Octopus 116:115 Piranyas
07.07 13:00 МСК IPBL
Octopus 125:139 Birz
07.07 11:45 МСК IPBL
Octopus 126:123 Reyvens
2 Wins
2 Losses
119.5 Scored
126.8 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPiranhas - Octopus

Piranhas
1 matches total
Octopus
Piranhas: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Octopus: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Oktopus 115:116 (08.07 09:15 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 231 goals (115:116, 08.07 09:15 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

08.07 09:15 МСК IPBL
Piranyas
115:116
Oktopus