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IPBL
IPBL International
15.07.2026 09:15 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 09:15 MSK
Finished

IPBL

Piranhas - Octopus

International Basketball
Piranhas
Piranhas
127 : 137
Finished
Octopus
Octopus
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Piranhas — 56%

1 · Piranhas ✓ Прогноз56.0%
2 · Octopus44.0%

Model estimate: win Piranhas 56.0%, win Octopus 44.0%. Model favourite — Piranhas.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Piranhas - Octopus 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Octopus.

Line favourite Fonbet: Octopus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.50 / 2 1.04
  • Glicko: Piranhas 56.0% / Octopus 44.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 ✓ Прогноз 10.9%
2 89.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.20 ↑ 4.90
Победитель П2 1.60 ↓ 1.14

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 09:15 MSK
Form 6 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Piranhas - Octopus

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников и 3 очных встреч.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 127:137
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Piranhas 18.9% 56.0% Glicko-противоход
Octopus 81.1% 44.0% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 56.0% / 44.0% probabilities
Rating 1,540 / 1,494 Piranhas / Octopus
RD 73 / 78 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,394-1,686 / 1,338-1,649 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 44.0%
1 8.50 Fonbet · weak value +376.2% · model 56.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.94 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 246.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 247.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П2 +0.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +1.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +10.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +11.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +12.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +13.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 +16.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 +17.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +18.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 +19.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +2.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 +20.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 +21.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 +22.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +23.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -0.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 -1.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -2.5 1.77 56.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 246.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 247.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 248.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 252.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 253.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 254.5 2.00 50.0%
ТБ 255.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 256.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 257.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 258.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 259.5 1.76 56.8%
ТБ 260.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 261.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 262.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 263.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 264.5 1.94 51.6%
ТБ 265.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 266.5 1.77 56.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 8.50 11.8%
П2 1.04 96.2%
Match center
Piranhas
W W W L W
13.07 14:15 МСК IPBL
Piranhas 150:147 Reyvens
13.07 10:30 МСК IPBL
Piranhas 143:130 Birz
13.07 09:15 МСК IPBL
Piranhas 150:135 Oktopus
10.07 09:15 МСК IPBL
Piranhas 143:147 Oktopus
09.07 14:15 МСК IPBL
Piranhas 128:115 Reyvens
4 Wins
1 Losses
142.8 Scored
134.8 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Octopus
L L L W W
13.07 13:00 МСК IPBL
Octopus 132:150 Birz
13.07 11:45 МСК IPBL
Octopus 144:149 Reyvens
13.07 09:15 МСК IPBL
Octopus 135:150 Piranyas
10.07 11:45 МСК IPBL
Octopus 153:150 Reyvens
10.07 09:15 МСК IPBL
Octopus 147:143 Piranyas
2 Wins
3 Losses
142.2 Scored
148.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPiranhas - Octopus

Piranhas
3 matches total
Octopus
Piranhas: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Octopus: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Piranyas 150:135 (13.07 09:15 МСК) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 290 goals (143:147, 10.07 09:15 МСК) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

13.07 09:15 МСК IPBL
Piranyas
150:135
Oktopus
10.07 09:15 МСК IPBL
Piranyas
143:147
Oktopus
08.07 09:15 МСК IPBL
Piranyas
115:116
Oktopus