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IPBL
IPBL International
30.07.2026 06:15 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Piranhas - Octopus

International Basketball
Piranhas
Piranhas
131 : 129
Finished
Octopus
Octopus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Piranhas - Octopus July 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Piranhas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.62 / 2 2.15

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 57.0%
2 43.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 06:15 UTC
Match center

Piranhas - Octopus

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.15 Fonbet · line only
1 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.03 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 257.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 258.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.70 58.8%
2.00 50.0%
1.80 55.6%
2.05 48.8%
2.15 46.5%
1.93 51.8%
1.70 58.8%
1.75 57.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.72 58.1%
2.03 49.3%
2.00 50.0%
1.80 55.6%
1.63 61.4%
2.00 50.0%
1.83 54.6%
1.68 59.5%
1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 257.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 258.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 259.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 260.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 261.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 262.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 263.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 264.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 265.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 266.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 267.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 268.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 269.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 270.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 271.5 2.03 49.3%
Under 257.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 258.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 259.5 2.03 49.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.62 61.7%
2.15 46.5%
Match center
Piranhas
W W W L W
29.07 11:15 UTC IPBL
Piranhas 135:114 Reyvens
27.07 11:15 UTC IPBL
Piranhas 147:129 Reyvens
27.07 06:15 UTC IPBL
Piranhas 134:128 Oktopus
24.07 11:15 UTC IPBL
Piranhas 141:144 Reyvens
24.07 06:15 UTC IPBL
Piranhas 128:116 Oktopus
4 Wins
1 Losses
137.0 Scored
126.2 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Octopus
L W L L L
29.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Octopus 131:142 Birz
28.07 08:45 UTC IPBL
Octopus 146:142 Reyvens
27.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Octopus 114:121 Birz
27.07 06:15 UTC IPBL
Octopus 128:134 Piranyas
24.07 10:00 UTC IPBL
Octopus 127:128 Birz
1 Wins
4 Losses
129.2 Scored
133.4 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPiranhas - Octopus

Piranhas
3 matches total
Octopus
Piranhas: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Octopus: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Piranyas 128:116 (24.07 06:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 262 goals (134:128, 27.07 06:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

27.07 06:15 UTC IPBL
Piranyas
134:128
Oktopus
24.07 06:15 UTC IPBL
Piranyas
128:116
Oktopus
22.07 06:15 UTC IPBL
Piranyas
132:121
Oktopus