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IPBL
IPBL International
29.07.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished

IPBL

Saint Petersburg - Sochi

International Basketball
Saint Petersburg
Saint Petersburg
85 : 91
Finished
Sochi
Sochi

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Saint Petersburg - Sochi July 29, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sochi. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.23 / 2 1.58

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 41.5%
2 58.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 03:00 UTC
Match center

Saint Petersburg - Sochi

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.58 Fonbet · line only
1 2.23 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 178.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only
Over 179.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
2.15 46.5%
1.93 51.8%
1.85 54.1%
2.05 48.8%
1.63 61.4%
1.80 55.6%
2.05 48.8%
2.35 42.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.93 51.8%
2.13 47.0%
2.35 42.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.62 61.7%
1.77 56.5%
1.67 59.9%
1.68 59.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 178.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 179.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 180.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 181.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 182.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 183.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 184.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 185.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 186.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 187.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 188.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 189.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 190.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 191.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 192.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 193.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 194.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 195.5 2.20 45.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.23 44.8%
1.58 63.3%
Match center
Saint Petersburg
L W L L W
27.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Saint Petersburg 132:137 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
27.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Saint Petersburg 118:109 Barnaul
27.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Saint Petersburg 109:116 Sochi
24.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Saint Petersburg 123:126 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
24.07 05:00 UTC IPBL
Saint Petersburg 113:106 Barnaul
2 Wins
3 Losses
119.0 Scored
118.8 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Sochi
W L W W W
27.07 08:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 94:92 Barnaul
27.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 99:106 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
27.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 116:109 Sankt-PeterburgSankt-Peterburg
24.07 07:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 110:106 Barnaul
24.07 06:00 UTC IPBL
Sochi 113:101 NovosibirskNovosibirsk
4 Wins
1 Losses
106.4 Scored
102.8 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySaint Petersburg - Sochi

Saint Petersburg
3 matches total
Sochi
Saint Petersburg: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sochi: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Sochi 118:127 (22.07 04:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 245 goals (118:127, 22.07 04:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

27.07 03:00 UTC IPBL
Sankt-Peterburg
109:116
Sochi
24.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Sankt-Peterburg
102:97
Sochi
22.07 04:00 UTC IPBL
Sankt-Peterburg
118:127
Sochi