Match center
Start
11.07.2026 18:00 MSK
11.07.2026 15:00 MSK
Finished
IPBL
Salavat - Smolensk
114
:
98
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Salavat - Smolensk 11 июля 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Salavat. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.11 / 2 5.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 8.3%
1
83.2%
2
16.8%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Salavat - Smolensk
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.50
Fonbet · line only
1
1.11
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.03
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
2.03
Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5
1.70
Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5
1.70
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 174.5
1.62
Fonbet · line only
Over 175.5
1.70
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П2 +0.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| П2 +1.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| П2 +2.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
| П2 -0.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| П2 -1.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 -10.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| П2 -11.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 -12.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 -13.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| П2 -14.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| П2 -2.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| П2 -3.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| П2 -4.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| П2 -5.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 -6.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| П2 -7.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| П2 -8.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| П2 -9.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 174.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| ТБ 175.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 176.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| ТБ 177.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 178.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 179.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| ТБ 180.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 181.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 182.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| ТБ 183.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| ТБ 184.5 | 2.05 48.8% |
| ТБ 185.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| ТБ 186.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| ТБ 188.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| ТБ 189.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТБ 190.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
| ТБ 191.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| ТБ 192.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.11 90.1% |
| П2 | 5.50 18.2% |
Match center
Salavat
L
W
L
W
W
Salavat
102:111
Serov
Salavat
122:108
Ryazan
Salavat
88:102
Smolensk
Salavat
118:97
Serov
Salavat
122:114
Ryazan
3
Wins
2
Losses
110.4
Scored
106.4
Conceded
60%
Win percentage
Smolensk
W
W
W
W
W
Smolensk
101:91
Ryazan
Smolensk
79:72
Serov
Smolensk
102:88
Salavat
Smolensk
113:97
Ryazan
Smolensk
84:76
Serov
5
Wins
0
Losses
95.8
Scored
84.8
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historySalavat - Smolensk
Salavat
2
matches total
Salavat: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Smolensk: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
Smolensk 88:102 (09.07 15:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
190 goals (88:102, 09.07 15:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Salavat
88:102
Smolensk
Salavat
87:83
Smolensk