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IPBL International

09.07.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction

09.07.2026 11:00 UTC

Finished

IPBL

Samara - Kazan

International Basketball

Samara

90 : 77

Finished

Kazan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Samara - Kazan July 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Samara. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / 2 6.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%

1 85.8%

2 14.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 09.07.2026 11:00 UTC

Match center

Samara - Kazan

Form 3/3 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.50 Fonbet · line only

1 1.08 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

1 +0.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 165.5 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Over 166.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.90 52.6%
	2.03 49.3%
	1.90 52.6%
	2.20 45.5%
	1.94 51.6%
	1.67 59.9%
	1.47 68.0%
	1.58 63.3%
	1.48 67.6%
	1.55 64.5%
	2.10 47.6%
	1.93 51.8%
	2.23 44.8%
	2.30 43.5%
	2.35 42.6%
	2.03 49.3%
	1.77 56.5%
	1.77 56.5%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 165.5	1.62 61.7%
Over 166.5	1.70 58.8%
Over 167.5	1.68 59.5%
Over 168.5	1.76 56.8%
Over 169.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 170.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 171.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 172.5	1.60 62.5%
Over 173.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 174.5	1.76 56.8%
Over 175.5	1.65 60.6%
Over 176.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 177.5	1.83 54.6%
Over 178.5	1.93 51.8%
Over 179.5	2.05 48.8%
Over 180.5	2.20 45.5%
Over 181.5	1.63 61.4%
Over 182.5	1.63 61.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.08 92.6%
	6.50 15.4%

Match center

Samara

W L W

09.07 09:00 UTC IPBL

Samara 97:76 Krasnodar

07.07 13:00 UTC IPBL

Samara 97:104 Tyumen

07.07 11:00 UTC IPBL

Samara 102:95 Kazan

2 Wins

1 Losses

98.7 Scored

91.7 Conceded

67% Win percentage

Kazan

L W L

08.07 10:00 UTC IPBL

Kazan 85:96 Tyumen

07.07 14:00 UTC IPBL

Kazan 112:93 Krasnodar

07.07 11:00 UTC IPBL

Kazan 95:102 Samara

1 Wins

2 Losses

97.3 Scored

97.0 Conceded

33% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historySamara - Kazan

Samara

1 matches total

Kazan

Samara: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Kazan: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Samara 102:95 (07.07 11:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 197 goals (102:95, 07.07 11:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

07.07 11:00 UTC IPBL

Samara

102:95

Kazan